SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
13.09.2026 11:00
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå FC
Match Timeline
Stockholm Internazionale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
D. Fallman
Stockholm Internazionale
35'
L. Sunesson
Stockholm Internazionale
60'
M. Canoilas
Stockholm Internazionale
🔄
65'
M. Canoilas ↔ M. K. Kantokoski
Stockholm Internazionale
🔄
68'
R. Hadad ↔ E. Hrastovina
Umeå FC
🔄
68'
F. Godwin ↔ A. Shakir
Umeå FC
🔄
68'
N. Linden ↔ H. Hassan
Umeå FC
🔄
68'
S. Forsman ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
🟨
70'
M. Njie
Umeå FC
🔄
73'
M. Njie ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC
🔄
73'
S. Conta ↔ S. Loyola-Nyden
Stockholm Internazionale
🔄
73'
A. Bergendahl Karki ↔ C. Weilid
Stockholm Internazionale
🔄
73'
O. Salama ↔ O. Leonardsson
Stockholm Internazionale
79'
Stockholm Internazionale
Stockholm Internazionale
🔄
80'
D. Fallman ↔ D. Tokpah
Stockholm Internazionale

Umeå FC vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.9%
Odds 1.52
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.9%
1.52
BTTS No
50.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.64
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.34
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33
Correct Score 0-3
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 27.3%
Draw 3.8%
Stockholm Internazionale Win 68.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.29
Stockholm Internazionale1.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
46 GF / 46 GA
Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale
WLDWL
67 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1
18
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 31 matches
Stockholm Internazionale Stockholm Internazionale 29 matches
Umeå FC Statistic Stockholm Internazionale
11 Wins 19
6 Draws 4
14 Losses 6
46 Goals For 67
46 Goals Against 29
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1
18 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 24
18 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Stockholm Internazionale's more proactive style and Umeå FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stockholm Internazionale. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Stockholm Internazionale look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stockholm Internazionale having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Stockholm Internazionale carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 42 points while Umeå FC sit 13 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Umeå FC Analysis

With 20 points from 19 games and a place of 13, Umeå FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 24:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stockholm Internazionale Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 42 points from 20 games, Stockholm Internazionale bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:17, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 2 times, Stockholm Internazionale won 5 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Umeå FC's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 2, draws 0, Stockholm Internazionale wins 5

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 22 12 6 4 46:18 28 42
D W L D D
4 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
5 22 11 6 5 36:25 11 39
W L L W W
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
9 22 8 5 9 37:39 -2 29
L L W W L
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 22 6 6 10 33:43 -10 24
D L L L W
13 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L