SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå FC
Live Timeline
Piteå
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
Z. Bawa
Umeå FC
22'
R. Hadad
Umeå FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.7%
Odds 1.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.7%
1.17
BTTS Yes
86%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.50
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 42.7%
Draw 17.3%
Piteå Win 40%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.78
Piteå1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
35 GF / 31 GA
Piteå Piteå
WLDWL
25 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.94
13
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 21 matches
Piteå Piteå 18 matches
Umeå FC Statistic Piteå
7 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 9
35 Goals For 25
31 Goals Against 35
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.39
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.94
13 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 16
13 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Piteå. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piteå having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC sit 8 with 13 points after 11 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Hadad (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Piteå Analysis

With 8 points from 11 games and a place of 15, Piteå still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 13:25, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 8 times, Piteå won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:27 from Umeå FC's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 8, draws 2, Piteå wins 5
Last matches: Umeå FC
07.06.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Sollentuna
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Stocksund
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
14.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Assyriska FF
5
1
W
09.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Gefle IF
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Karlberg
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Stockholm Internazionale
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Vasalund
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Arlanda
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Hammarby Talang
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Piteå
0
1
L
21.03.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Ostersunds FK
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Umeå FC
VPS
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Skellefteå
5
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
IFK Östersund
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Täfteå
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
GIF Sundsvall
2
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
IFK Luleå
1
4
L
Last matches: Piteå
07.06.26
Ett
Piteå
Enköping
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stockholm Internazionale
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Sollentuna
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stocksund
3
2
W
14.05.26
Ett
Piteå
FBK Karlstad
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Arlanda
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Järfälla
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Hammarby Talang
1
4
L
12.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Assyriska FF
0
2
L
06.04.26
Ett
Piteå
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
1
0
W
22.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Stocksund
2
1
W
15.03.26
Fri
Piteå
IFK Umeå
2
0
W
01.03.26
Fri
Piteå
IFK Luleå
4
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
4
L
15.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Skellefteå
2
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Rops
1
1
D
H2H: Umeå FC vs Piteå
28.03.26
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
1
0
L
21.02.26
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
W
23.03.25
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
0
W
24.08.24
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
0
W
31.05.24
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
0
D
05.10.23
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
3
0
L
16.06.23
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
1
0
W
11.10.21
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
4
4
D
04.07.21
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
W
08.09.19
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
5
1
L
25.05.19
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
2
0
W
19.08.18
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
7
1
L
28.04.18
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
2
W
23.10.16
H2H
Piteå
Umeå FC
4
2
L
14.06.16
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
1
W
Last matches: Umeå FC
31.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Stocksund
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
IF Karlstad
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Gefle IF
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Karlberg
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
Umeå FC
Arlanda
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Skellefteå
5
0
W
21.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
IFK Östersund
1
1
D
01.02.26
Fri
Umeå FC
IFK Luleå
1
4
L
24.01.26
Fri
Umeå FC
Friska Viljor
4
1
W
H2H at home: Umeå FC
21.02.26
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
W
23.03.25
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
0
W
24.08.24
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
0
W
16.06.23
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
1
0
W
04.07.21
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
W
25.05.19
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
2
0
W
28.04.18
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
2
W
14.06.16
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
1
W
Last matches: Piteå
24.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Sollentuna
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Stocksund
3
2
W
10.05.26
Ett
Piteå
Vasalund
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ett
Piteå
Järfälla
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ett
Piteå
IF Karlstad
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fri
Piteå
Stocksund
2
1
W
21.02.26
Fri
Piteå
Umeå FC
0
4
L
H2H away: Piteå
21.02.26
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
L
23.03.25
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
0
L
24.08.24
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
0
L
16.06.23
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
1
0
L
04.07.21
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
4
0
L
25.05.19
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
2
0
L
28.04.18
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
2
L
14.06.16
H2H
Umeå FC
Piteå
3
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.65
Draw 4.30
Home 1.55
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.25 1.35
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.62
Over 3.0 1.81
Over 3.25 2.04
Over 3.5 2.26
Over 3.75 2.61
Over 4.0 3.09
Under 2.25 2.99
Under 2.5 2.47
Under 2.75 2.23
Under 3.0 1.99
Under 3.25 1.74
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.45
Under 4.0 1.33
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 4.20
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.50
Home 1.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.88
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 4.15
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.97
Draw 2.45
Home 2.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.68
Draw 2.89
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 1.75 1.14
Over 2.0 1.17
Over 2.25 1.32
Over 2.5 1.46
Over 2.75 1.60
Over 3.0 1.73
Over 3.25 1.99
Over 3.5 2.23
Over 3.75 2.49
Over 4.0 3.05
Over 4.25 3.34
Over 4.5 3.58
Over 4.75 4.45
Over 5.0 5.90
Over 5.25 6.15
Over 5.5 6.45
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 14.30
Under 1.0 10.50
Under 1.5 4.75
Under 1.75 4.39
Under 2.0 3.94
Under 2.25 2.87
Under 2.5 2.38
Under 2.75 2.18
Under 3.0 1.90
Under 3.25 1.73
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 3.75 1.42
Under 4.0 1.28
Under 4.25 1.24
Under 4.5 1.21
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.60
Draw 4.40
Home 1.42
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.20
Draw 2.65
Home 1.87
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 3.05
Home 1.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 5.80
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 18:6 12 26
W D W W W
2 11 8 1 2 28:10 18 25
W L W W W
3 11 6 3 2 20:10 10 21
L D D D W
4 11 7 0 4 20:19 1 21
W L L W W
5 11 5 5 1 18:8 10 20
W L D D D
6 11 5 3 3 21:13 8 18
W D W L L
7 11 4 2 5 18:22 -4 14
L W W L W
8 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D D L D W
9 11 2 6 3 8:10 -2 12
D D D L L
10 11 3 3 5 16:20 -4 12
L D L L D
11 11 3 3 5 16:21 -5 12
W W L D W
12 11 3 2 6 15:22 -7 11
L L W W L
13 11 3 2 6 15:24 -9 11
L W L D L
14 11 2 4 5 17:25 -8 10
L W D D L
15 11 2 2 7 13:25 -12 8
L D D W L
16 11 1 4 6 24:30 -6 7
W D D L L