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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
18.10.2026 12:00
Umea Energi Arena

Umeå FC vs Assyriska FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
69.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 30.8%
Draw 20.5%
Assyriska FF Win 48.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.59
Assyriska FF1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
56 GF / 55 GA
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF
WLDWL
65 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.49
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
21
BTTS Yes
23
23
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 37 matches
Assyriska FF Assyriska FF 36 matches
Umeå FC Statistic Assyriska FF
15 Wins 13
6 Draws 7
16 Losses 16
56 Goals For 65
55 Goals Against 62
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.49 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
21 BTTS Yes 23
30 Over 1.5 31
23 Over 2.5 24
15 Over 3.5 15
8 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Assyriska FF arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Assyriska FF. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Assyriska FF having the stronger overall control.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC sit 10 with 32 points after 25 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 34:41 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Assyriska FF Analysis

Assyriska FF sit 9 with 32 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 43:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 7 times, Assyriska FF won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:9 from Umeå FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.5%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 7, draws 0, Assyriska FF wins 2

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 19 3 4 63:21 42 60
W W W W W
2 26 14 6 6 46:31 15 48
L W W W W
3 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
4 26 14 5 7 48:37 11 47
L D W L W
5 26 13 6 7 51:26 25 45
L L W L D
6 26 12 8 6 40:25 15 44
W D D D D
7 26 12 7 7 41:36 5 43
L D W D D
8 26 10 5 11 44:45 -1 35
W L L W L
9 26 10 5 11 36:42 -6 35
W W L W W
10 26 9 6 11 36:44 -8 33
D W D L L
11 26 9 4 13 32:46 -14 31
D L L W L
12 26 7 7 12 39:55 -16 28
D L W L D
13 26 6 9 11 27:36 -9 27
W L L D L
14 26 5 8 13 33:49 -16 23
D D W W L
15 26 5 4 17 34:57 -23 19
L D L L W
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L