SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå FC
Match Timeline
AFC Eskilstuna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
S. Lindmark · Assist: Z. Bawa
Umeå FC
🟨
17'
A. Mazalovic
AFC Eskilstuna
44'
A. Flodkvist
AFC Eskilstuna
🟨
45+4'
S. Lindmark
Umeå FC
🔄
60'
E. Yeboah ↔ D. Bangala
Umeå FC
🔄
62'
F. Godwin ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC
🟨
72'
J. Essombe Mambingo
Umeå FC
74'
I. Ahmed
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
75'
I. Ahmed ↔ L. Hanson
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
75'
M. Rydh ↔ D. Zhuravlev
AFC Eskilstuna
79'
S. Skoldqvist
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
80'
O. Blomdahl ↔ U. Amadi
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
80'
S. Skoldqvist ↔ V. Lif
AFC Eskilstuna
🔄
81'
H. Hassan ↔ I. Johansson
Umeå FC
🔄
81'
Z. Bawa ↔ V. Johansson
Umeå FC
🔄
84'
E. Chabo ↔ A. Azizovic
AFC Eskilstuna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.3%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 35%
Draw 4.7%
AFC Eskilstuna Win 60.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.52
AFC Eskilstuna1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
40 GF / 38 GA
AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna
WLDWL
48 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
15
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 26 matches
AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 25 matches
Umeå FC Statistic AFC Eskilstuna
9 Wins 14
5 Draws 4
12 Losses 7
40 Goals For 48
38 Goals Against 37
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
15 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 22
15 Over 2.5 17
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Eskilstuna having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward AFC Eskilstuna. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. AFC Eskilstuna look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Umeå FC Analysis

Umeå FC sit 11 with 16 points after 14 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Eskilstuna Analysis

AFC Eskilstuna sit 8 with 19 points after 14 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:24 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 2 times, AFC Eskilstuna won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:12 from Umeå FC's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 2, draws 0, AFC Eskilstuna wins 4

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 41:17 24 39
W W W L W
2 18 11 4 3 45:15 30 37
D L D W W
3 19 11 4 4 31:17 14 37
D L L W W
4 19 10 6 3 33:22 11 36
W W L D L
5 19 10 4 5 33:26 7 34
W W W W W
6 19 9 4 6 31:31 0 31
W L W D L
7 19 9 2 8 27:31 -4 29
L D L W L
8 19 7 5 7 32:31 1 26
W L W W W
9 18 7 3 8 28:28 0 24
L W L W W
10 19 7 3 9 25:37 -12 24
D W W L W
11 19 6 5 8 30:38 -8 23
L W D W D
12 19 5 5 9 24:32 -8 20
W D L L L
13 19 4 8 7 18:27 -9 20
L W W L D
14 19 4 3 12 23:41 -18 15
L L L L L
15 19 2 6 11 21:40 -19 12
L D D D L
16 19 2 5 12 38:47 -9 11
L L L W L