ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Referee: G. Mucera
Udinese
Match Timeline
Torino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
23'
Nicolò Zaniolo
Udinese
45'
K. Ehizibue
Udinese
🟨
46'
Christian Kabasele
Udinese
🟨
49'
Rafael Obrador
Torino
51'
T. Kristensen · Assist: L. Miller
Udinese
🔄
57'
E. Ilkhan ↔ S. Kulenovic
Torino
🔄
57'
C. Casadei ↔ M. Prati
Torino
🔄
65'
R. Obrador ↔ C. Biraghi
Torino
🔄
69'
K. Ehizibue ↔ O. Zarraga
Udinese
🔄
70'
A. Buksa ↔ I. Gueye
Udinese
🔄
71'
G. Simeone ↔ A. Njie
Torino
🔄
76'
L. Miller ↔ J. Piotrowski
Udinese
🔄
77'
C. Kabasele ↔ B. Mlacic
Udinese
🔄
84'
A. Atta ↔ J. Arizala
Udinese

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 66.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
66.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Udinese Win 39.3%
Draw 32.7%
Torino Win 28%
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese1.36
Torino1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Udinese Udinese
WWDLW
45 GF / 49 GA
Torino Torino
WLDWL
45 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
18
BTTS Yes
18
18
Over 2.5
23
3.97
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Udinese Udinese 37 matches
Torino Torino 38 matches
Udinese Statistic Torino
14 Wins 14
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 16
45 Goals For 45
49 Goals Against 60
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
18 BTTS Yes 18
27 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 23
8 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 14
10 Failed To Score 10
3.97 Shots On Goal 4.05
11.59 Total Shots 11.84
4.32 Corners 4.03
45.9% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Udinese expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Torino in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Torino having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Torino. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Udinese Analysis

Udinese sit 11 with 44 points after 34 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 41:46 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Keinan Davis (10 goals), A. Atta (5 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (3 assists), A. Atta (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Torino Analysis

Torino are currently 13 in the standings with 41 points from 34 matches. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 39:56 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Simeone (10 goals), Nikola Vlašić (8 goals), C. Adams (5 goals), with creative support from Nikola Vlašić (3 assists), C. Adams (2 assists), Emirhan İlkhan (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Udinese won 5 times, Torino won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Udinese's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72%)
Predicted formations: Udinese 3-4-2-1 / Torino 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Udinese wins 5, draws 2, Torino wins 8
Stats
Udinese Udinese
Torino Torino
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 2
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 5
7 Blocked Shots 3
13 Shots insidebox 3
6 Shots outsidebox 6
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
455 Total passes 388
391 Passes accurate 330
2.00 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Udinese
Formation
Torino
M. Okoye
M. Okoye
T. Kristensen
T. Kristensen
C. Kabasele
C. Kabasele
O. Solet
O. Solet
K. Ehizibue
K. Ehizibue
L. Miller
🎯
L. Miller
A. Atta
A. Atta
H. Kamara
H. Kamara
N. Zaniolo
N. Zaniolo
J. Ekkelenkamp
J. Ekkelenkamp
A. Buksa
A. Buksa
A. Paleari
A. Paleari
L. Marianucci
L. Marianucci
S. Coco
S. Coco
E. Ebosse
E. Ebosse
V. Lazaro
V. Lazaro
C. Casadei
C. Casadei
E. Ilkhan
E. Ilkhan
G. Gineitis
G. Gineitis
R. Obrador
R. Obrador
N. Vlasic
N. Vlasic
G. Simeone
G. Simeone
Udinese 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
40
M. Okoye
G
31
T. Kristensen
⚽ 51'
D
27
C. Kabasele
↓ 77' 🟨 46'
D
28
O. Solet
D
19
K. Ehizibue
⚽ 45' ↓ 69'
M
38
L. Miller
🎯 51' ↓ 76'
M
14
A. Atta
↓ 84'
M
11
H. Kamara
M
10
N. Zaniolo
F
32
J. Ekkelenkamp
F
18
A. Buksa
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
93
D. Padelli
G
90
R. Sava
G
1
A. Nunziante
G
15
V. Bayo
F
24
J. Piotrowski
↑ 76'
M
22
B. Mlacic
↑ 77'
D
6
O. Zarraga
↑ 69'
M
7
I. Gueye
↑ 70'
F
20
J. Arizala
↑ 84'
M
45
G. Vinciati
F
29
A. Camara
M
Torino 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1
A. Paleari
G
35
L. Marianucci
D
23
S. Coco
D
77
E. Ebosse
D
20
V. Lazaro
M
22
C. Casadei
↓ 57'
M
6
E. Ilkhan
↓ 57'
M
66
G. Gineitis
M
33
R. Obrador
↓ 65' 🟨 49'
M
10
N. Vlasic
F
18
G. Simeone
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
81
F. Israel
G
99
L. Siviero
G
61
A. Tameze
M
34
C. Biraghi
↑ 65'
D
17
S. Kulenovic
↑ 57'
F
25
N. Nkounkou
D
4
M. Prati
↑ 57'
M
13
G. Maripan
D
8
I. Ilic
M
79
Z. Savva
92
A. Njie
↑ 71'
F
Last matches: Udinese
08.08.26
Fri
Udinese
Barcelona
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Udinese
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Udinese
Trabzonspor
0
1
L
01.08.26
Fri
Udinese
FSV Mainz 05
3
3
D
28.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Swansea
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Istra 1961
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Napoli
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Cremonese
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Cagliari
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Lazio
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Parma
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Udinese
AC Milan
3
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
20.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Genoa
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Juventus
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Atalanta
2
2
D
02.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Bologna
0
1
L
15.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Sassuolo
1
2
L
Last matches: Torino
08.08.26
Fri
Torino
Avellino
1
1
D
02.08.26
Fri
Torino
Burnley
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Torino
Cittadella
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Torino
Alcione
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Torino
Juventus
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
L
08.05.26
Ser
Torino
Sassuolo
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Torino
Inter
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Torino
Cremonese
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Torino
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Torino
Pisa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Torino
AC Milan
2
3
L
13.03.26
Ser
Torino
Parma
4
1
W
06.03.26
Ser
Torino
Napoli
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Torino
Lazio
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
Torino
Genoa
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Torino
Bologna
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Torino
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.02.26
Cop
Torino
Inter
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Torino
Lecce
1
0
W
H2H: Udinese vs Torino
02.05.26
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
07.01.26
H2H
Torino
Udinese
1
2
W
23.04.25
H2H
Torino
Udinese
2
0
L
29.12.24
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
2
D
16.03.24
H2H
Udinese
Torino
0
2
L
23.12.23
H2H
Torino
Udinese
1
1
D
05.02.23
H2H
Torino
Udinese
1
0
L
23.10.22
H2H
Udinese
Torino
1
2
L
06.02.22
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
22.11.21
H2H
Torino
Udinese
2
1
L
10.04.21
H2H
Udinese
Torino
0
1
L
12.12.20
H2H
Torino
Udinese
2
3
W
23.06.20
H2H
Torino
Udinese
1
0
L
20.10.19
H2H
Udinese
Torino
1
0
W
10.02.19
H2H
Torino
Udinese
1
0
L
Last matches: Udinese
08.08.26
Fri
Udinese
Barcelona
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Udinese
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Udinese
FSV Mainz 05
3
3
D
28.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Udinese
Istra 1961
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Cremonese
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Parma
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Juventus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Sassuolo
1
2
L
02.02.26
Ser
Udinese
AS Roma
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Inter
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Pisa
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Lazio
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Napoli
1
0
W
08.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Genoa
1
2
L
22.11.25
Ser
Udinese
Bologna
0
3
L
01.11.25
Ser
Udinese
Atalanta
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Udinese
Lecce
3
2
W
H2H at home: Udinese
02.05.26
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
29.12.24
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
2
D
16.03.24
H2H
Udinese
Torino
0
2
L
23.10.22
H2H
Udinese
Torino
1
2
L
06.02.22
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
10.04.21
H2H
Udinese
Torino
0
1
L
20.10.19
H2H
Udinese
Torino
1
0
W
Last matches: Torino
08.08.26
Fri
Torino
Avellino
1
1
D
02.08.26
Fri
Torino
Burnley
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Torino
Cremonese
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Torino
Pisa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Torino
AC Milan
2
3
L
06.03.26
Ser
Torino
Napoli
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Torino
Genoa
0
3
L
07.02.26
Ser
Torino
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.02.26
Cop
Torino
Inter
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Torino
Como
0
6
L
13.01.26
Cop
Torino
AS Roma
3
2
W
10.01.26
Ser
Torino
Atalanta
0
2
L
04.01.26
Ser
Torino
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
21.12.25
Ser
Torino
Sassuolo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Torino
Lecce
1
2
L
08.11.25
Ser
Torino
Juventus
0
0
D
29.10.25
Ser
Torino
Bologna
0
0
D
04.10.25
Ser
Torino
Lazio
3
3
D
29.09.25
Ser
Torino
Parma
1
2
L
H2H away: Torino
02.05.26
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
0
L
29.12.24
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
2
D
16.03.24
H2H
Udinese
Torino
0
2
W
23.10.22
H2H
Udinese
Torino
1
2
W
06.02.22
H2H
Udinese
Torino
2
0
L
10.04.21
H2H
Udinese
Torino
0
1
W
20.10.19
H2H
Udinese
Torino
1
0
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B