VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Olimpico de la UCV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.9%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 83.9%
Draw 7.4%
Rayo Zuliano Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.54
Rayo Zuliano1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
WWDLW
44 GF / 50 GA
Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano
WLDWL
18 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
18
BTTS Yes
9
19
Over 2.5
11
2.1
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 32 matches
Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 18 matches
UCV Statistic Rayo Zuliano
12 Wins 5
6 Draws 2
14 Losses 11
44 Goals For 18
50 Goals Against 32
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
18 BTTS Yes 9
27 Over 1.5 13
19 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
10 Failed To Score 8
2.1 Shots On Goal 0
6.5 Total Shots 0
0.9 Corners 0
22.9% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by UCV's more proactive style and Rayo Zuliano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. UCV arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 23 points compared to Rayo Zuliano in 11 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rayo Zuliano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rayo Zuliano.

UCV Analysis

UCV sit 4 with 23 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 24:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Rayo Zuliano Analysis

Rayo Zuliano sit 11 with 14 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 5 times, Rayo Zuliano won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:3 from UCV's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
H2H summary: UCV wins 5, draws 2, Rayo Zuliano wins 0
Last matches: UCV
22.08.26
Pri
UCV
Zamora FC
0
2
L
15.08.26
Pri
UCV
Caracas FC
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
1
2
L
04.08.26
Pri
UCV
Monagas SC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
2
3
L
27.05.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
19.05.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1
W
06.05.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
UCV
Carabobo FC
2
4
L
09.04.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
3
1
W
Last matches: Rayo Zuliano
22.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo La Guaira
1
4
L
15.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
10.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Estudiantes de Merida FC
3
0
W
06.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Anzoátegui FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Zamora FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Caracas FC
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Monagas SC
0
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Trujillanos FC
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
18.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Carabobo FC
0
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
UCV
1
5
L
01.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Anzoátegui FC
3
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Zamora FC
0
1
L
H2H: UCV vs Rayo Zuliano
08.03.26
H2H
Rayo Zuliano
UCV
1
5
W
27.09.25
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
W
20.04.25
H2H
Rayo Zuliano
UCV
0
2
W
26.09.24
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
30.03.24
H2H
Rayo Zuliano
UCV
2
2
D
24.06.23
H2H
Rayo Zuliano
UCV
0
0
D
19.05.23
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
2
0
W
Last matches: UCV
15.08.26
Pri
UCV
Caracas FC
0
1
L
04.08.26
Pri
UCV
Monagas SC
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
2
3
L
12.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1
W
06.05.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
29.04.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
UCV
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
UCV
Zamora FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
0
1
L
H2H at home: UCV
27.09.25
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
W
26.09.24
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
W
19.05.23
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
2
0
W
Last matches: Rayo Zuliano
15.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Puerto Cabello
0
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Zamora FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Caracas FC
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Monagas SC
0
3
L
22.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Carabobo FC
0
5
L
01.03.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Estudiantes de Merida FC
2
1
W
06.02.26
Pri
Rayo Zuliano
Anzoátegui FC
3
1
W
H2H away: Rayo Zuliano
27.09.25
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
3
0
L
26.09.24
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
1
0
L
19.05.23
H2H
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
2
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 6 0 15:6 9 27
W D W D W
2 13 7 4 2 17:10 7 25
W W D L W
3 13 7 3 3 17:12 5 24
W D L W W
4
UCV Home
13 7 2 4 24:20 4 23
L D L W L
5 13 5 5 3 20:12 8 20
W D W L D
6 13 6 2 5 21:18 3 20
L W W W L
7 13 4 7 2 23:14 9 19
L W W D D
8 13 4 5 4 16:14 2 17
D W L L D
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
D D D W W
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
W D L W D
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
L L L W D
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
D L W L D
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
D L W L L
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)