VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
02.09.2026 20:00

UCV vs Puerto Cabello Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.6%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 46.6%
Draw 16.3%
Puerto Cabello Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.26
Puerto Cabello1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
WWDLW
48 GF / 51 GA
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello
WLDWL
40 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.97
19
BTTS Yes
17
20
Over 2.5
14
3.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 33 matches
Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 29 matches
UCV Statistic Puerto Cabello
13 Wins 14
6 Draws 7
14 Losses 8
48 Goals For 40
51 Goals Against 28
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.97
19 BTTS Yes 17
28 Over 1.5 23
20 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 3
3.5 Shots On Goal 0
10.83 Total Shots 0
1.5 Corners 0
38.2% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Puerto Cabello. UCV have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Puerto Cabello having the stronger overall control.

UCV Analysis

With 23 points from 13 games and a place of 4, UCV still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 24:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Puerto Cabello Analysis

Puerto Cabello are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 13 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 3 times, Puerto Cabello won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:28 from UCV's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: UCV 4-2-3-1 / Puerto Cabello 4-3-3
H2H summary: UCV wins 3, draws 5, Puerto Cabello wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 5 3 35:18 17 47
W W W D W
2 22 12 7 3 34:17 17 43
L W D L W
3 22 13 4 5 36:23 13 43
L W W D L
4 22 10 5 7 31:27 4 35
W L D W D
5 22 8 10 4 31:21 10 34
D D D D D
6
UCV Home
22 10 4 8 34:30 4 34
W D D W L
7 22 8 9 5 33:21 12 33
W W L D D
8 22 8 8 6 28:21 7 32
L D D W D
9 21 5 10 6 23:26 -3 25
W D D D W
10 22 6 7 9 23:31 -8 25
L D L D W
11 22 6 3 13 25:43 -18 21
D L W L L
12 21 5 3 13 23:34 -11 18
L W L D L
13 22 3 5 14 18:39 -21 14
W L L W D
14 22 3 4 15 20:43 -23 13
L L L L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2