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18.10.2026 19:30
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: C. Parra
UCV
Match Timeline
Portuguesa FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Christopher Montaña
Portuguesa FC
🟨
35'
Samuel Sosa
UCV
🔄
46'
G. Aguirre ↔ N. Trejo
Portuguesa FC
🔄
46'
C. Montana ↔ A. Yepez
Portuguesa FC
🔄
64'
V. H. Navas Barrera ↔ J. Martinez
Portuguesa FC
🔄
67'
D. De Sousa ↔ W. Lugo
UCV
🔄
76'
A. Gonzalez ↔ J. Colmenarez
UCV
🔄
77'
R. Rojas ↔ A. Polo
Portuguesa FC
🔄
85'
D. Carrillo ↔ Y. Cumana
UCV
🔄
85'
F. Sole ↔ V. Rodriguez
UCV
🔄
85'
E. Mosquera ↔ R. Sarli
UCV
🟨
88'
Ovidio·Lopez
Portuguesa FC
🔄
88'
J. Canete ↔ R. Toussaint
Portuguesa FC

UCV vs Portuguesa FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 43.1%
Draw 24.6%
Portuguesa FC Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.24
Portuguesa FC1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
L D W W D
5 GF / 5 GA
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC
D L W W D
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
22
BTTS Yes
17
21
Over 2.5
14
3.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 39 matches
Portuguesa FC Portuguesa FC 32 matches
UCV Statistic Portuguesa FC
15 Wins 12
9 Draws 13
15 Losses 7
54 Goals For 43
57 Goals Against 33
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
22 BTTS Yes 17
32 Over 1.5 23
21 Over 2.5 14
12 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 7
3.5 Shots On Goal 0
10.67 Total Shots 0
1.5 Corners 0
38.2% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UCV expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Portuguesa FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Portuguesa FC having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Portuguesa FC.

UCV Analysis

UCV arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 38 points after 24 matches. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 36:31 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Portuguesa FC Analysis

From their first 24 matches, Portuguesa FC have collected 37 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 34:24 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 2 times, Portuguesa FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from UCV's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.5%)
Predicted formations: UCV 4-2-3-1 / Portuguesa FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: UCV wins 2, draws 1, Portuguesa FC wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 47:21 26 57
D W W W W
2 26 15 6 5 47:29 18 51
D W W D L
3 26 12 8 6 37:24 13 44
L D L L L
4 26 10 11 5 38:24 14 41
D W D W W
5 26 10 10 6 35:26 9 40
D W W D L
6 26 9 12 5 34:24 10 39
D D L W D
7
UCV Home
26 11 6 9 37:35 2 39
D L D W W
8 26 10 7 9 36:34 2 37
D L D L W
9 26 7 11 8 30:33 -3 32
W W D L L
10 26 8 5 13 31:39 -8 29
D W D W W
11 26 6 7 13 26:41 -15 25
L L L L L
12 26 7 4 15 31:52 -21 25
L L D W D
13 26 4 6 16 23:46 -23 18
W L D L W
14 26 4 5 17 23:47 -24 17
W L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2