VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: R. Cueva
UCV
Match Timeline
Deportivo Tachira FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
26'
A. Penaranda ↔ L. Gonzalez
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
46'
P. Camacho
Deportivo Tachira FC
49'
J. Bolivar · Assist: J. Cuesta
UCV
🔄
52'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Simarra
UCV
🟨
57'
A. Gonzalez
UCV
🔄
62'
J. Bolivar ↔ S. Sosa
UCV
🔄
62'
A. Gonzalez ↔ K. Mendoza
UCV
🔄
62'
A. Granko ↔ J. Zapata
UCV
🔄
62'
P. Camacho ↔ F. Provenzano
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
63'
B. Palmezano ↔ J. Balza
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
63'
H. Ramirez ↔ L. Zuniga
Deportivo Tachira FC
64'
F. Provenzano · Assist: D. Alfonzo
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
68'
F. Provenzano
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
69'
K. Mendoza
UCV
🔄
78'
J. Cuesta ↔ D. De Sousa
UCV
🔄
81'
D. Alfonzo ↔ L. Fioravanti
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
90+4'
W. Velasquez
UCV
🟨
90+5'
J. Zapata
UCV
🟨
90+6'
C. Ortiz
UCV
🟨
90+8'
Y. Murillo
UCV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.6%
-
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 42.2%
Draw 4.2%
Deportivo Tachira FC Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.53
Deportivo Tachira FC1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
10
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 15 matches
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 16 matches
UCV Statistic Deportivo Tachira FC
8 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
29 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 15
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
10 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 7
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
14 Total Shots 10.75
1.5 Corners 4.5
37% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. UCV have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Deportivo Tachira FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Tachira FC having the stronger overall control.

UCV Analysis

UCV approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 22 points from 11 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 23:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Bolivar (5 goals), J. Cuesta (5 goals), D. De Sousa (3 goals), with creative support from S. Sosa (4 assists), J. Cuesta (3 assists), J. Bolivar (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Tachira FC Analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 20 points after 11 outings. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 14:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Fratta (3 goals), L. Gonzalez (3 goals), R. Pollero (3 goals), with creative support from L. Gonzalez (2 assists), A. Penaranda (2 assists), J. Villalpando (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 4 times, Deportivo Tachira FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from UCV's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: UCV 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Tachira FC -
H2H summary: UCV wins 4, draws 3, Deportivo Tachira FC wins 4

Lineups

UCV
Formation
Deportivo Tachira FC
L. Morales
L. Morales
K. Silva
K. Silva
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
W. Velasquez
W. Velasquez
Y. Cumana
Y. Cumana
Y. Murillo
Y. Murillo
F. Sole
F. Sole
A. Gonzalez
A. Gonzalez
J. Cuesta
🎯
J. Cuesta
J. Bolivar
J. Bolivar
A. Granko
A. Granko
A. Araque
A. Araque
P. Camacho
P. Camacho
G. Fratta
G. Fratta
L. Lusnig
L. Lusnig
D. Alfonzo
🎯
D. Alfonzo
A. Perez
A. Perez
B. Palmezano
B. Palmezano
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
C. Sosa
C. Sosa
A. Penaranda
A. Penaranda
H. Ramirez
H. Ramirez
UCV 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Morales
2
K. Silva
5
L. Martinez
↓ 52'
4
W. Velasquez
🟨 90+4'
24
Y. Cumana
9
Y. Murillo
🟨 90+8'
6
F. Sole
30
A. Gonzalez
↓ 62' 🟨 57'
7
J. Cuesta
🎯 49' ↓ 78'
11
J. Bolivar
⚽ 49' ↓ 62'
47
A. Granko
↓ 62'
Substitutes
57
C. Cermeno
27
D. Carrillo
10
S. Sosa
↑ 62'
14
K. Mendoza
↑ 62' 🟨 69'
21
C. Ortiz
🟨 90+6'
8
J. Zapata
↑ 62' 🟨 90+5'
23
Y. Hernandez
16
D. De Sousa
↑ 78'
19
A. Simarra
↑ 52'
38
S. Hernandez
15
R. Davis
Deportivo Tachira FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Araque
13
P. Camacho
↓ 62' 🟨 46'
4
G. Fratta
3
L. Lusnig
88
D. Alfonzo
🎯 64' ↓ 81'
25
A. Perez
14
B. Palmezano
↓ 63'
2
J. Sanchez
10
C. Sosa
7
A. Penaranda
↓ 26'
70
H. Ramirez
↓ 63'
Substitutes
30
E. Vargas
11
L. Gonzalez
↑ 26'
5
L. Fioravanti
↑ 81'
38
G. Lozano
44
E. Tamiche
45
F. Provenzano
⚽ 64' ↑ 62' 🟨 68'
17
J. Balza
↑ 63'
8
J. Villalpando
31
C. Mendez
27
L. Zuniga
↑ 63'
22
A. Oliveros
41
W. Wilches
Last matches: UCV
30.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
2
3
L
27.05.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
1
2
L
19.05.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
4
L
15.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1
W
06.05.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
1
1
D
29.04.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
0
3
L
16.04.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pri
UCV
Carabobo FC
2
4
L
09.04.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
3
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
UCV
Academia Anzoátegui
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
17.03.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
UCV
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pri
UCV
Rayo Zuliano
5
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
UCV
Zamora FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Deportivo Tachira FC
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
12.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportivo La Guaira
2
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
0
W
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Rayo Zuliano
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Zamora FC
2
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
0
1
L
27.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
20.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Trujillanos FC
0
0
D
11.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
The Strongest
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
H2H: UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC
19.04.26
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
14.06.25
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
08.02.25
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
1
0
L
06.10.24
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
2
0
L
08.07.24
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
0
W
05.04.24
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
0
W
18.08.23
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
19.03.23
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
1
1
D
28.08.22
H2H
Deportivo Tachira FC
UCV
0
0
D
25.03.22
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
Last matches: UCV
30.05.26
Pri
UCV
Portuguesa FC
2
3
L
12.05.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
3
1
W
06.05.26
CON
UCV
Independiente del Valle
2
0
W
29.04.26
CON
UCV
Rosario Central
0
3
L
09.04.26
CON
UCV
Libertad Asuncion
3
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV
Deportivo La Guaira
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
UCV
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
UCV
Zamora FC
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pri
UCV
Metropolitanos FC
3
2
W
01.02.26
Pri
UCV
Trujillanos FC
2
0
W
20.01.26
Fri
UCV
Puerto Cabello
0
1
L
H2H at home: UCV
19.04.26
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
14.06.25
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
W
08.07.24
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
0
W
05.04.24
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
0
W
18.08.23
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
L
25.03.22
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Deportivo Tachira FC
24.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Carabobo FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Metropolitanos FC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Puerto Cabello
2
1
W
18.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Rayo Zuliano
0
0
D
07.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Caracas FC
1
0
W
27.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
Deportes Tolima
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Monagas SC
3
2
W
06.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Portuguesa FC
0
1
L
04.02.26
CON
Deportivo Tachira FC
The Strongest
1
2
L
09.01.26
Fri
Deportivo Tachira FC
Santa Fe
3
2
W
H2H away: Deportivo Tachira FC
19.04.26
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
1
D
19.07.25
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
W
14.06.25
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
0
L
08.07.24
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
0
L
05.04.24
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
0
L
18.08.23
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
1
2
W
25.03.22
H2H
UCV
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
?
1 6 3 2 1 10:5 5 11
?
2 6 3 2 1 8:5 3 11
?
2 6 2 2 2 7:8 -1 8
?
3 6 1 4 1 5:5 0 7
?
3 6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
?
4
UCV Home
6 1 3 2 8:8 0 6
?
4 6 1 0 5 2:8 -6 3
?
9 13 4 5 4 14:14 0 17
?
10 13 3 6 4 15:17 -2 15
?
11 13 4 2 7 13:23 -10 14
?
12 13 3 2 8 14:22 -8 11
?
13 13 2 3 8 15:25 -10 9
?
14 13 0 4 9 9:26 -17 4
?