VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
19.04.2026 23:00
Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Referee: R. Cueva
UCV
Match Timeline
Deportivo Tachira FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
26'
A. Penaranda ↔ L. Gonzalez
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
46'
P. Camacho
Deportivo Tachira FC
49'
J. Bolivar · Assist: J. Cuesta
UCV
🔄
52'
L. Martinez ↔ A. Simarra
UCV
🟨
57'
A. Gonzalez
UCV
🔄
62'
J. Bolivar ↔ S. Sosa
UCV
🔄
62'
A. Gonzalez ↔ K. Mendoza
UCV
🔄
62'
A. Granko ↔ J. Zapata
UCV
🔄
62'
P. Camacho ↔ F. Provenzano
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
63'
B. Palmezano ↔ J. Balza
Deportivo Tachira FC
🔄
63'
H. Ramirez ↔ L. Zuniga
Deportivo Tachira FC
64'
F. Provenzano · Assist: D. Alfonzo
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
68'
F. Provenzano
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
69'
K. Mendoza
UCV
🔄
78'
J. Cuesta ↔ D. De Sousa
UCV
🔄
81'
D. Alfonzo ↔ L. Fioravanti
Deportivo Tachira FC
🟨
90+4'
W. Velasquez
UCV
🟨
90+5'
J. Zapata
UCV
🟨
90+6'
C. Ortiz
UCV
🟨
90+8'
Y. Murillo
UCV

UCV vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
80%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.6%
-
Probability Distribution
UCV Win 42.2%
Draw 4.2%
Deportivo Tachira FC Win 53.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
UCV1.53
Deportivo Tachira FC1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
UCV UCV
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
10
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UCV UCV 15 matches
Deportivo Tachira FC Deportivo Tachira FC 16 matches
UCV Statistic Deportivo Tachira FC
8 Wins 9
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
29 Goals For 20
23 Goals Against 15
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
10 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 7
11 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 5
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.25
14 Total Shots 10.75
1.5 Corners 4.5
37% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. UCV have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Deportivo Tachira FC. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Tachira FC having the stronger overall control.

UCV Analysis

UCV approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 22 points from 11 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 23:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Bolivar (5 goals), J. Cuesta (5 goals), D. De Sousa (3 goals), with creative support from S. Sosa (4 assists), J. Cuesta (3 assists), J. Bolivar (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Tachira FC Analysis

Deportivo Tachira FC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 20 points after 11 outings. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 14:10, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Fratta (3 goals), L. Gonzalez (3 goals), R. Pollero (3 goals), with creative support from L. Gonzalez (2 assists), A. Penaranda (2 assists), J. Villalpando (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UCV won 4 times, Deportivo Tachira FC won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from UCV's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: UCV 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Tachira FC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UCV wins 4, draws 3, Deportivo Tachira FC wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 4 4 33:20 13 40
W D L W W
2 19 11 6 2 31:14 17 39
L W W W L
3 19 11 5 3 28:17 11 38
D W L W W
4 19 8 7 4 28:18 10 31
D D W W L
5 19 9 4 6 28:25 3 31
W D W L W
6 19 8 6 5 27:18 9 30
W D W W W
7
UCV Home
19 9 2 8 31:29 2 29
W L L L W
8 19 6 9 4 27:17 10 27
D D W L W
9 20 6 6 8 21:28 -7 24
L D W L L
10 19 4 9 6 21:25 -4 21
D D W L L
11 19 5 2 12 19:36 -17 17
L L L W L
12 19 4 3 12 20:32 -12 15
L D L W L
13 19 3 4 12 19:36 -17 13
L D L L W
14 19 2 5 12 15:33 -18 11
W D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2