UCV Moquegua vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
43.3%
|
4.58 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
1.76 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.9%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
8.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
26 matches
Sporting Cristal
36 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 13 | Losses | 16 |
| 23 | Goals For | 56 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.42 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.28 | Shots On Goal | 4.74 |
| 10.12 | Total Shots | 13.97 |
| 3.12 | Corners | 5.51 |
| 39.4% | Ball Possession | 56.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sporting Cristal. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
UCV Moquegua sit 15 with 25 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats with a 23:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Edgar Lastre (6 goals), Bryan Angulo (3 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (4 assists), Yorman Zapata (4 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Sporting Cristal sit 10 with 29 points after 24 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, while the 38:38 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Yoshimar Yotún (3 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), Felipe Vizeu (3 goals), with creative support from Yoshimar Yotún (6 assists), Santiago González (3 assists), Maxloren Castro (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 1 times, Sporting Cristal won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 53 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 45 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 43:28 | 15 | 42 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34:42 | -8 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 34 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 10 |
Sporting Cristal
Away
|
25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43:38 | 5 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 11 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 30 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 16 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 38:49 | -11 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|