Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
87.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
80.5%
|
- |
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
12 matches
FC Cajamarca
12 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 2 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 12 | Goals For | 14 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.17 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.36 | Shots On Goal | 2.45 |
| 9.36 | Total Shots | 7.27 |
| 3.18 | Corners | 2.73 |
| 38.5% | Ball Possession | 40% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cajamarca. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. UCV Moquegua arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 13 points compared to FC Cajamarca in 18 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 13 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 8:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Edgar Lastre (4 goals), J. Collazos (3 goals), K. Ruiz (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (2 assists), N. Chavez (2 assists), Ricardo Chipao (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
FC Cajamarca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 6 points from 11 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 10:17, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through H. Barcos (7 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), B. Palacios (1 goals), with creative support from T. Andrade (3 assists), H. Barcos (1 assists), A. Rodriguez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 3 times, FC Cajamarca won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
UCV Moquegua
6
4
10
4
1
3
Lineups
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
ADT
FC Cajamarca
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
FC Cajamarca
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
Cusco
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Atletico Grau
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
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|
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| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
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|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
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| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
| 15 |
FC Cajamarca
Away
|
17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
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