Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
18 matches
Comerciantes Unidos
19 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 7 |
| 17 | Goals For | 19 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.41 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 12.65 |
| 3.29 | Corners | 3.76 |
| 39.7% | Ball Possession | 43.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Comerciantes Unidos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with UCV Moquegua expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control.
UCV Moquegua sit 14 with 18 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:24, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through Edgar Lastre (5 goals), J. Collazos (4 goals), C. Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Ricardo Chipao (2 assists), N. Chavez (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 17 matches, Comerciantes Unidos have collected 21 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 18:20 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
UCV Moquegua
7
7
5
7
5
3
Lineups
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 52 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 39:24 | 15 | 45 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 42 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 34:37 | -3 | 41 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 39 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 5 | 37 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 36 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 30:28 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Comerciantes Unidos
Away
|
24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:33 | -1 | 29 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19:23 | -4 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 25 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 24 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28:40 | -12 | 23 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26:33 | -7 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 27:42 | -15 | 15 |
L
L
L
D
L
|