UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
65.1%
|
1.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
1.66 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
75%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
6.00 |
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UCV Moquegua
24 matches
Alianza Atletico
24 matches
| UCV Moquegua | Statistic | Alianza Atletico |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 7 | Draws | 7 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 30 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.92 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.29 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.78 |
| 10.13 | Total Shots | 13.35 |
| 3.09 | Corners | 3.35 |
| 39% | Ball Possession | 45% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and UCV Moquegua's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Atletico. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
UCV Moquegua are currently 13 in the standings with 25 points from 23 matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 22:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Edgar Lastre (6 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), Cristian Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Yorman Zapata (4 assists), Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Alianza Atletico are currently 8 in the standings with 31 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 30:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Guillermo Larios (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Hernan Lupú (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, Alianza Atletico won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:7 from UCV Moquegua's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Away
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
UCV Moquegua
Home
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|