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05.10.2026 18:00
Monumental de Villa Lynch
UAI Urquiza
Match Timeline
Ituzaingó
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
J. Martinez
Ituzaingó
⚽
49'
J. Odunukwe
Ituzaingó
🔄
56'
V. Rodriguez ↔ V. Ciancio
UAI Urquiza
🔄
56'
L. Arcuri ↔ N. Rios
UAI Urquiza
🔄
56'
E. Ibanez ↔ E. Diaz
UAI Urquiza
🟨
57'
S. Monzon
UAI Urquiza
⚽
60'
J. Maza
Ituzaingó
🔄
64'
S. Monzon ↔ F. Postel
UAI Urquiza
⚽
66'
F. Mesa
UAI Urquiza
🔄
69'
J. Fanti ↔ E. Mantovani
Ituzaingó
🔄
74'
S. Scacchi ↔ R. Scarcella
UAI Urquiza
🔄
75'
P. Desposito ↔ J. Salvadores
Ituzaingó
🔄
75'
J. Odunukwe ↔ A. Miranda
Ituzaingó
🟨
79'
F. Postel
UAI Urquiza
🔄
84'
H. Sala ↔ A. Sotelo
Ituzaingó
🔄
84'
J. Maza ↔ T. Barea
Ituzaingó
⚽
86'
E. Diaz
UAI Urquiza
🟨
90+4'
N. Rios
UAI Urquiza
⚽
90'
N. Rios
UAI Urquiza

UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingó Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
82.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UAI Urquiza Win 50.9%
Draw 31.8%
Ituzaingó Win 17.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
UAI Urquiza0.96
Ituzaingó0.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
WWDLW
18 GF / 33 GA
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó
WLDWL
23 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
0.49
Average Goals Scored
0.61
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.66
10
BTTS Yes
17
7
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 37 matches
Ituzaingó Ituzaingó 38 matches
UAI Urquiza Statistic Ituzaingó
4 Wins 1
20 Draws 12
13 Losses 25
18 Goals For 23
33 Goals Against 63
0.49 Avg Goals Scored 0.61
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.66
10 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 27
7 Over 2.5 16
2 Over 3.5 9
17 Clean Sheets 8
24 Failed To Score 20
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ituzaingó having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ituzaingó. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

UAI Urquiza Analysis

With 31 points from 36 games and a place of 21, UAI Urquiza still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 19 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 18:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ituzaingó Analysis

Ituzaingó approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 15 points from 36 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 12 draws, and 23 defeats, and the 23:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza won 1 times, Ituzaingó won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from UAI Urquiza's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.7%)
H2H summary: UAI Urquiza wins 1, draws 3, Ituzaingó wins 1

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 23 8 8 63:30 33 77
W L W W W
2 39 20 12 7 53:26 27 72
W L W L W
3 39 19 11 9 47:29 18 68
W W W D L
4 39 19 11 9 41:24 17 68
D L W D L
5 39 17 14 8 39:24 15 65
D L D W L
6 39 17 13 9 44:30 14 64
D L L L L
7 39 17 10 12 42:38 4 61
D W W W W
8 39 17 10 12 42:39 3 61
L W L W W
9 39 14 14 11 39:34 5 56
D D D W D
10 39 13 13 13 47:51 -4 52
D W L L D
11 39 12 14 13 40:44 -4 50
L W L W W
12 39 11 14 14 40:43 -3 47
L L W D L
13 39 11 14 14 37:43 -6 47
L W W D D
14 39 10 15 14 37:52 -15 45
D D L W L
15 39 11 11 17 34:41 -7 44
L L L W L
16 39 9 17 13 32:39 -7 44
D D D D W
17 39 10 14 15 32:40 -8 44
D W L L W
18 39 9 15 15 25:37 -12 42
W D W D L
19 39 11 9 19 35:48 -13 42
W D L L W
20 39 9 14 16 33:40 -7 41
L D W L W
21 39 6 20 13 22:35 -13 38
W W D L L
22 39 1 13 25 27:64 -37 16
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)