19.09.2026 20:00
Monumental de Villa Lynch

UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
UAI Urquiza Win 20.6%
Draw 5.1%
Excursionistas Win 74.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
UAI Urquiza0.61
Excursionistas1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
WWDLW
17 GF / 31 GA
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WLDWL
54 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.49
Average Goals Scored
1.54
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
9
BTTS Yes
15
6
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 35 matches
Excursionistas Excursionistas 35 matches
UAI Urquiza Statistic Excursionistas
4 Wins 20
19 Draws 8
12 Losses 7
17 Goals For 54
31 Goals Against 28
0.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
9 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 24
6 Over 2.5 13
2 Over 3.5 6
16 Clean Sheets 15
23 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Excursionistas's more proactive style and UAI Urquiza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Excursionistas. Excursionistas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 65 points while UAI Urquiza sit 21 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Excursionistas look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Excursionistas having the stronger overall control.

UAI Urquiza Analysis

UAI Urquiza sit 21 with 31 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 19 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 17:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 65 points after 34 outings. They have recorded 19 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 51:28 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza won 4 times, Excursionistas won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from UAI Urquiza's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
H2H summary: UAI Urquiza wins 4, draws 4, Excursionistas wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 20 8 7 54:28 26 68
W W L W W
2 35 18 12 5 47:22 25 66
W W W W D
3 35 17 12 6 41:22 19 63
L W D W D
4 35 18 9 8 37:19 18 63
L W W D L
5 35 16 12 7 35:20 15 60
L L D D W
6 35 16 10 9 41:27 14 58
L W W L L
7 35 15 10 10 38:34 4 55
W L D W W
8 35 14 9 12 36:37 -1 51
W D W L L
9 35 13 11 11 36:33 3 50
D W W L W
10 35 12 12 11 42:45 -3 48
D D D W L
11 35 10 14 11 33:36 -3 44
W D L W L
12 35 10 13 12 38:38 0 43
L L W W D
13 35 10 11 14 30:35 -5 41
L L D L D
14 35 9 13 13 35:39 -4 40
D D L W W
15 35 9 13 13 29:35 -6 40
W D D W L
16 35 9 13 13 29:36 -7 40
W L L L L
17 35 9 13 13 34:49 -15 40
L D L L D
18 35 10 8 17 31:43 -12 38
W L W L W
19 35 8 13 14 31:36 -5 37
W D D W W
20 35 7 13 15 21:37 -16 34
L D D L D
21 35 4 19 12 17:31 -14 31
L W L L D
22 35 1 12 22 22:55 -33 15
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)