CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
14.06.2026 21:30
Claro Arena
Referee: H. Jona
U. Catolica
Match Timeline
Universidad de Concepcion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
24'
F. Zampedri · Assist: J. A. Martinez
U. Catolica
40'
F. Zampedri · Assist: D. Corral
U. Catolica
45'
J. Fuentealba
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
46'
D. Corral ↔ C. Montes
U. Catolica
🔄
46'
D. Sabando ↔ A. Diaz
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
54'
B. Ampuero
U. Catolica
60'
F. Zampedri · Assist: C. Cuevas
U. Catolica
🔄
65'
D. Retamal ↔ L. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
68'
C. Cuevas · Assist: J. Giani
U. Catolica
🔄
72'
A. Urzi ↔ A. Uribe
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
73'
J. Valencia ↔ G. Medel
U. Catolica
🔄
73'
F. Zuqui ↔ A. Canales
U. Catolica
🟨
75'
L. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
80'
J. Giani · Assist: F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
🔄
81'
B. Ogaz ↔ P. Parra
Universidad de Concepcion
🔄
85'
F. Zampedri ↔ M. Gomez
U. Catolica
🔄
85'
J. Giani ↔ V. Carcamo
U. Catolica
🟨
89'
L. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
🟥
89'
L. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion
🟨
90+2'
O. Gonzalez
Universidad de Concepcion

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
U. Catolica Win 48.4%
Draw 24%
Universidad de Concepcion Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
U. Catolica1.74
Universidad de Concepcion0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WWDLW
38 GF / 23 GA
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WLDWL
12 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
12
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
7
4.85
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

U. Catolica U. Catolica 20 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 14 matches
U. Catolica Statistic Universidad de Concepcion
11 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
38 Goals For 12
23 Goals Against 21
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
12 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 9
13 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
4.85 Shots On Goal 4.07
13.1 Total Shots 13.07
5 Corners 5.07
53.4% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by U. Catolica's more proactive style and Universidad de Concepcion's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U. Catolica expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Universidad de Concepcion in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Concepcion having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad de Concepcion. U. Catolica arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Universidad de Concepcion in 11 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 23 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 30:19 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by F. Zampedri (12 goals), J. Giani (7 goals), C. Montes (3 goals), with creative support from Matías Palavecino (5 assists), C. Montes (4 assists), C. Cuevas (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

So far, Universidad de Concepcion have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 19 points from 14 matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 12:21 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Waterman (3 goals), L. Rojas (2 goals), A. Diaz (1 goals), with creative support from Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Y. A. Oyanedel Hernandez (2 assists), C. Waterman (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, U. Catolica won 6 times, Universidad de Concepcion won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:7 from U. Catolica's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76%)
Predicted formations: U. Catolica 4-1-4-1 / Universidad de Concepcion 4-3-3
H2H summary: U. Catolica wins 6, draws 3, Universidad de Concepcion wins 0

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
9 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
10 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D D L D
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 20 6 4 10 16:34 -18 22
W L L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L