NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
10.05.2026 14:45
De Grolsch Veste
Referee: J. van der Laan
Twente
Match Timeline
Sparta Rotterdam
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Marvin Young
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
19'
M. van Bergen ↔ C. Terho
Sparta Rotterdam
58'
T. van den Belt
Twente
59'
T. van den Belt
Twente
🟨
70'
Bruno Martins Indi
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
71'
S. Orjasaeter ↔ M. Pjaca
Twente
71'
K. Hlynsson
Twente
🔄
72'
J. Kitolano ↔ M. Zonneveld
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
72'
S. Sambo ↔ P. Clement
Sparta Rotterdam
78'
D. Rots · Assist: M. Rots
Twente
🔄
79'
D. Rots ↔ R. van Wolfswinkel
Twente
🔄
79'
T. van den Belt ↔ D. Weidmann
Twente
🔄
80'
T. Lauritsen ↔ J. Toornstra
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
80'
A. Santos ↔ A. Roaldsoy
Sparta Rotterdam
🔄
88'
M. Rots ↔ R. Propper
Twente
🔄
88'
K. Hlynsson ↔ A. Verschueren
Twente

Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Twente Win 100%
Draw 0%
Sparta Rotterdam Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Twente1.7
Sparta Rotterdam1.15
Recent Form (Last 5)
Twente Twente
WWDLW
54 GF / 35 GA
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
WLDWL
38 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
21
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
16
6.34
Shots on Goal
4.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Twente Twente 32 matches
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 32 matches
Twente Statistic Sparta Rotterdam
14 Wins 12
13 Draws 7
5 Losses 13
54 Goals For 38
35 Goals Against 55
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
21 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 16
9 Over 3.5 11
7 Clean Sheets 11
6 Failed To Score 8
6.34 Shots On Goal 4.47
17.53 Total Shots 12.97
5.13 Corners 4.63
54.2% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Twente's more proactive style and Sparta Rotterdam's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sparta Rotterdam. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Twente expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sparta Rotterdam in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sparta Rotterdam having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Twente Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 55 points from 32 games, Twente bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 13 draws, and 5 losses, with a 54:35 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Hlynsson (9 goals), D. Rots (8 goals), Ricky van Wolfswinkel (8 goals), with creative support from S. Lammers (7 assists), S. Orjasaeter (6 assists), K. Hlynsson (4 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Sparta Rotterdam Analysis

So far, Sparta Rotterdam have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 43 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses, while the 38:55 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Lauritsen (12 goals), S. Mito (7 goals), J. Kitolano (6 goals), with creative support from T. Lauritsen (4 assists), M. van Bergen (4 assists), S. Mito (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Twente won 8 times, Sparta Rotterdam won 1 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from Twente's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Twente 4-2-3-1 / Sparta Rotterdam 4-3-3
Missing players: Twente 1, Sparta Rotterdam 2
H2H summary: Twente wins 8, draws 6, Sparta Rotterdam wins 1

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 27 3 4 101:45 56 84
W W D W W
2 34 19 8 7 70:44 26 65
W D W W D
3 34 16 11 7 77:53 24 59
W L D D D
4 34 15 13 6 59:40 19 58
L W D D W
5 34 14 14 6 62:41 21 56
D L D W W
6 34 15 8 11 55:42 13 53
W W W L W
7 34 14 10 10 58:51 7 52
D D D D W
8 34 14 9 11 57:53 4 51
D L W W L
9 34 14 6 14 49:45 4 48
W W L L D
10 34 12 7 15 40:62 -22 43
L L D L L
11 34 11 6 17 49:63 -14 39
L W L L D
12 34 8 14 12 54:53 1 38
L L D D D
13 34 10 8 16 43:56 -13 38
W D W W D
14 34 9 10 15 49:55 -6 37
W W D W L
15 34 9 10 15 44:71 -27 37
L L W L D
16 34 8 8 18 35:55 -20 32
L D L W L
17 34 6 11 17 35:58 -23 29
D W L L D
18 34 5 4 25 35:85 -50 19
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie