20.08.2026 18:00
De Grolsch Veste
Referee: J. Xhaja
Twente
Match Timeline
Qarabag
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Robin Pröpper
Twente
🟨
28'
Aske Adelgaard
Twente
🟨
28'
Matheus Silva
Qarabag
🟨
34'
Daouda Weidmann
Twente
🔄
46'
R. Propper ↔ M. Bruns
Twente
52'
Kady Borges · Assist: M. Qurbanly
Qarabag
🟨
58'
Ramiz Zerrouki
Twente
🔄
61'
M. Pjaca ↔ K. Hlynsson
Twente
🔄
61'
W. Weghorst ↔ S. Lammers
Twente
🟨
66'
Daan Rots
Twente
🔄
75'
M. Qurbanly ↔ Dani Bolt
Qarabag
🔄
83'
A. Adelgaard ↔ F. Thorvaldsen
Twente
🔄
83'
D. Weidmann ↔ L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
Twente

Twente vs Qarabag Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Twente Win 62.7%
Draw 4.2%
Qarabag Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Twente1.67
Qarabag1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Twente Twente
WWDLW
29 GF / 16 GA
Qarabag Qarabag
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
8
BTTS Yes
3
10
Over 2.5
7
6
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Twente Twente 13 matches
Qarabag Qarabag 12 matches
Twente Statistic Qarabag
7 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
29 Goals For 25
16 Goals Against 10
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
8 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 4
6 Shots On Goal 0.5
15 Total Shots 0
5.5 Corners 2
40.8% Ball Possession 22.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Twente won 1 times, Qarabag won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Twente's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Twente 4-1-4-1 / Qarabag 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Twente wins 1, draws 2, Qarabag wins 1

Standings

League Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W D W W
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W W W D
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
D W D W W
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D W L W
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D W W W
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D D W W
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L W
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D W W
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D W W
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W L W W W
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W L
24 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
D W D W W
25 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W W W
26 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
27 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W
28 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W W W W W
29 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D
30 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D W D D
31 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W D D W W
32 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
33 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
34 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
35 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
W L D W
36 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Playoffs