WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
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De Grolsch Veste
Referee: J. Xhaja

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Twente Win 62.7%
Draw 4.2%
Qarabag Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Twente1.67
Qarabag1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Twente Twente
WWDLW
29 GF / 16 GA
Qarabag Qarabag
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.23
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
8
BTTS Yes
3
10
Over 2.5
7
6
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Twente Twente 13 matches
Qarabag Qarabag 12 matches
Twente Statistic Qarabag
7 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
29 Goals For 25
16 Goals Against 10
2.23 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
8 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 8
10 Over 2.5 7
7 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 4
6 Shots On Goal 0.5
15 Total Shots 0
5.5 Corners 2
40.8% Ball Possession 22.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Twente won 0 times, Qarabag won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Twente's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Twente 4-2-3-1 / Qarabag 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Twente wins 0, draws 2, Qarabag wins 0
Last matches: Twente
16.08.26
Ere
Twente
PEC Zwolle
3
1
W
13.08.26
UEF
Twente
Dunajska Streda
3
3
D
09.08.26
Ere
Twente
Heerenveen
0
1
L
06.08.26
UEF
Twente
Dunajska Streda
6
0
W
02.08.26
Fri
Twente
Genk
1
2
L
30.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
2
2
D
24.07.26
Fri
Twente
Emmen
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Twente
Gent
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
PAOK
3
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
Sportfreunde Lotte
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Twente
Aberdeen
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
1
5
L
10.05.26
Ere
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
03.05.26
Ere
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fri
Twente
Ajax
1
0
W
10.04.26
Ere
Twente
FC Volendam
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ere
Twente
Ajax
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ere
Twente
Fortuna Sittard
2
1
W
Last matches: Qarabag
13.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
FC Kharkiv
2
6
L
27.06.26
Fri
Qarabag
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
2
3
L
18.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
1
6
L
28.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Liverpool
0
6
L
21.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
2
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
NK Osijek
3
1
W
12.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Neftchi
5
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ajax
2
4
L
25.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Napoli
0
2
L
05.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Chelsea
2
2
D
22.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
Athletic Club
1
3
L
H2H: Twente vs Qarabag
28.08.14
H2H
Twente
Qarabag
1
1
D
21.08.14
H2H
Qarabag
Twente
0
0
D
Last matches: Twente
16.08.26
Ere
Twente
PEC Zwolle
3
1
W
06.08.26
UEF
Twente
Dunajska Streda
6
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Twente
Ferencvarosi TC
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Twente
Gent
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Twente
Sportfreunde Lotte
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Twente
Aberdeen
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ere
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ere
Twente
FC Volendam
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ere
Twente
Utrecht
0
2
L
01.03.26
Ere
Twente
Feyenoord
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ere
Twente
Groningen
2
1
W
07.02.26
Ere
Twente
Heerenveen
5
0
W
24.01.26
Ere
Twente
Excelsior
0
0
D
10.01.26
Ere
Twente
PEC Zwolle
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ere
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
2
0
W
30.11.25
Ere
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
1
0
W
07.11.25
Ere
Twente
Telstar
0
0
D
26.10.25
Ere
Twente
Ajax
2
3
L
05.10.25
Ere
Twente
Heracles
2
1
W
H2H at home: Twente
28.08.14
H2H
Twente
Qarabag
1
1
D
Last matches: Qarabag
06.08.26
UEF
Qarabag
Dynamo Kyiv
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
CSKA Sofia
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Qarabag
Vestri
3
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Qarabag
WSG Wattens
4
0
W
24.02.26
UEF
Qarabag
Newcastle
2
3
L
28.01.26
UEF
Qarabag
Liverpool
0
6
L
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
Zaglebie Lubin
3
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Qarabag
NK Osijek
3
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Qarabag
Napoli
0
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Qarabag
Athletic Club
1
3
L
16.09.25
UEF
Qarabag
Benfica
3
2
W
19.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Ferencvarosi TC
3
1
W
05.08.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shkendija
1
0
W
23.07.25
UEF
Qarabag
Shelbourne
3
0
W
H2H away: Qarabag
28.08.14
H2H
Twente
Qarabag
1
1
D