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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
20.09.2026 12:30
De Grolsch Veste
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands
Twente
Match Timeline
PSV Eindhoven
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
10'
R. Pepi ↔ S. Mijnans
PSV Eindhoven
⚽
14'
Y. Taha
Twente
⚽
26'
G. Til · Assist: Mauro Junior
PSV Eindhoven
⚽
29'
G. Til · Assist: P. Wanner
PSV Eindhoven
🟨
43'
Wout Weghorst
Twente
🔄
58'
F. Thorvaldsen ↔ D. Rots
Twente
🟨
60'
Ruben van Bommel
PSV Eindhoven
🟨
66'
Ivan Perišić
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
75'
R. van Bommel ↔ E. Bajraktarevic
PSV Eindhoven
🔄
76'
S. Orjasaeter ↔ M. Pjaca
Twente
🔄
76'
R. Propper ↔ L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
Twente
⚽
79'
W. Weghorst · Assist: D. Rots
Twente
🔄
80'
P. Wanner ↔ R. Flamingo
PSV Eindhoven
⚽
83'
D. Weidmann · Assist: M. Bruns
Twente
🔄
86'
Y. Taha ↔ T. van den Belt
Twente

Twente vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Twente Win 40.3%
Draw 13.1%
PSV Eindhoven Win 46.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Twente1.89
PSV Eindhoven2.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Twente Twente
WWDLW
42 GF / 21 GA
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
WLDWL
38 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
3.17
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
11
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
10
8
Shots on Goal
8.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Twente Twente 19 matches
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 12 matches
Twente Statistic PSV Eindhoven
11 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
4 Losses 1
42 Goals For 38
21 Goals Against 17
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 3.17
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
11 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 10
10 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
8 Shots On Goal 8.14
21.83 Total Shots 20.86
7.58 Corners 7.29
62.1% Ball Possession 62.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring PSV Eindhoven. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Twente expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and PSV Eindhoven in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward PSV Eindhoven having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Twente Analysis

Twente come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 13 points after 6 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:5, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through W. Weghorst (3 goals), M. Pjaca (2 goals), S. Ørjasæter (1 goals), with creative support from S. Ørjasæter (2 assists), Y. Taha (2 assists), W. Weghorst (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

PSV Eindhoven Analysis

PSV Eindhoven come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 13 points after 5 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 18:6, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through R. Pepi (3 goals), S. Dest (2 goals), R. van Bommel (2 goals), with creative support from S. Dest (2 assists), R. van Bommel (2 assists), A. Bouhamdi (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Twente won 1 times, PSV Eindhoven won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:41 from Twente's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Twente 4-2-3-1 / PSV Eindhoven 4-3-3
Missing players: Twente 2, PSV Eindhoven 6
H2H summary: Twente wins 1, draws 4, PSV Eindhoven wins 10

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:7 20 20
W W W W D
2 8 6 1 1 26:10 16 19
W L W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
L W D W W
4 8 5 2 1 16:8 8 17
D W W W D
5 8 4 3 1 22:10 12 15
D D W W L
6 8 4 2 2 20:14 6 14
W W D D L
7 8 4 2 2 14:15 -1 14
D W L W W
8 8 2 5 1 19:17 2 11
D D D D L
9 8 3 2 3 16:14 2 11
L D L D W
10 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L W D L D
11 8 2 3 3 13:14 -1 9
D D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:19 -8 8
W D W D L
13 8 2 2 4 14:25 -11 8
W L W D L
14 8 1 3 4 13:20 -7 6
D L L D L
15 8 1 3 4 7:14 -7 6
D L D L D
16 8 1 1 6 6:21 -15 4
L L L D L
17 8 0 3 5 9:19 -10 3
D D L L D
18 8 0 2 6 7:23 -16 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie