SWEDEN ETTAN - SöDRA
12.09.2026 14:00
Tvååker
Match Timeline
AFC Malmo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
37'
V. Gustavsson
Tvååker
🟨
52'
T. Graudums
Tvååker
🔄
68'
N. Lundgren ↔ L. Ademi
Tvååker
🔄
68'
M. Fatahi ↔ B. Nouri
AFC Malmo
🔄
68'
N. Kohler ↔ M. Bjorkqvist
AFC Malmo
🔄
75'
L. Minter Wettergren ↔ C. Sener
AFC Malmo
🔄
77'
A. Johansson ↔ I. Shamoun
Tvååker
🔄
77'
H. Rodin ↔ F. Gustafsson
Tvååker
🔄
77'
A. Ajdarevic ↔ L. Munther
Tvååker
🔄
88'
E. Alievski ↔ F. Martinsson
AFC Malmo
🔄
88'
K. Harletun ↔ A. Reinholdsson
AFC Malmo
🔄
90+3'
M. Sjoland ↔ E. Tannor
Tvååker

Tvååker vs AFC Malmo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.5%
Odds 2.01
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.5%
2.01
BTTS Yes
88%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.13
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Tvååker Win 34.8%
Draw 17.8%
AFC Malmo Win 47.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tvååker1.86
AFC Malmo1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tvååker Tvååker
WWDLW
56 GF / 33 GA
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo
WLDWL
39 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
15
BTTS Yes
14
17
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tvååker Tvååker 27 matches
AFC Malmo AFC Malmo 20 matches
Tvååker Statistic AFC Malmo
14 Wins 8
6 Draws 7
7 Losses 5
56 Goals For 39
33 Goals Against 31
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
15 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 18
17 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 10
10 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and AFC Malmo's more proactive style and Tvååker's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward AFC Malmo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Malmo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Tvååker Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Tvååker have collected 29 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 27:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Malmo Analysis

AFC Malmo are currently 6 in the standings with 30 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 37:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Tvååker won 1 times, AFC Malmo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Tvååker's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
H2H summary: Tvååker wins 1, draws 0, AFC Malmo wins 0

Standings

South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 6 3 44:24 20 42
W L W L L
2 21 12 3 6 41:26 15 39
L W W W W
3 21 11 6 4 45:32 13 39
W D L W W
4 21 10 8 3 44:26 18 38
W D W W L
5 21 9 7 5 35:28 7 34
L W W D D
6 21 9 6 6 28:28 0 33
D W D W W
7 21 8 8 5 39:31 8 32
D D D L D
8 21 7 7 7 33:33 0 28
W W L W W
9 21 7 6 8 25:20 5 27
D L W D D
10 21 6 9 6 23:29 -6 27
W W D W L
11 21 8 2 11 38:43 -5 26
L W L L D
12 21 7 4 10 32:38 -6 25
L L L D W
13 21 5 6 10 25:33 -8 21
D L W L L
14 21 6 3 12 28:38 -10 21
W L D L D
15 21 3 8 10 25:39 -14 17
L L L L L
16 21 1 5 15 17:54 -37 8
L D L D D