FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: O. Reitala
Turku PS
Match Timeline
VPS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Tobias Karkulowski
Turku PS
🟨
44'
Miika Niemi
VPS
🔄
55'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
55'
T. Karkulowski ↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
🔄
67'
O. Haggstrom ↔ A. Sairinen
Turku PS
🔄
68'
Y. Daoussi ↔ S. Lindholm
VPS
🔄
68'
J. Muzinga ↔ J. Vahtera
VPS
🟨
70'
Matej Hradecky
Turku PS
🔄
78'
K. Kouassivi-Benissan ↔ O. Ogunniyi
VPS
83'
M. Kauppila · Assist: N. Talo
Turku PS
🔄
87'
M. Konkkola ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
🔄
87'
M. Niemi ↔ M. Haukioja
VPS
🔄
87'
A. Raisanen ↔ O. Keturi
VPS
🟨
90+2'
Eetu Turkki
Turku PS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 67.3%
Draw 6.5%
VPS Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.02
VPS1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
VPS VPS
WLDWL
12 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
7
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
4
1.88
Shots on Goal
1.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 13 matches
VPS VPS 12 matches
Turku PS Statistic VPS
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 3
14 Goals For 12
13 Goals Against 11
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
1.88 Shots On Goal 1.13
4.75 Total Shots 3
2.88 Corners 2.25
18% Ball Possession 20.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and VPS in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward VPS having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring VPS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Turku PS Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Turku PS have collected 12 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), M. Konkkola (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), L. Ivanovic (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

VPS Analysis

VPS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 13 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, with a 8:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Luka Smyth (3 goals), S. Lindholm (2 goals), J. Muzinga (1 goals), with creative support from Jayden Turfkruier (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 6 times, VPS won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Turku PS's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.5%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / VPS 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 6, draws 4, VPS wins 5

Lineups

Turku PS
Formation
VPS
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
T. Karkulowski
T. Karkulowski
O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
E. Turkki
E. Turkki
M. Kauppila
M. Kauppila
M. Konkkola
M. Konkkola
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
L. Ikonen
L. Ikonen
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
M. Jalloh
M. Jalloh
L. Mane
L. Mane
E. Okereke
E. Okereke
M. Niemi
M. Niemi
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
A. Raisanen
A. Raisanen
P. Lima
P. Lima
J. Turfkruier
J. Turfkruier
Y. Daoussi
Y. Daoussi
L. Smyth
L. Smyth
J. Muzinga
J. Muzinga
Turku PS 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
G
77
T. Karkulowski
↓ 55' 🟨 5'
D
2
O. Haggstrom
↓ 67'
D
14
M. Hradecky
🟨 70'
D
3
E. Turkki
🟨 90+2'
D
20
M. Kauppila
⚽ 83'
M
10
M. Konkkola
↓ 87'
M
22
T. Zaal
M
26
L. Ikonen
M
11
E. Vauhkonen
↓ 55'
M
29
A. Muzaci
M
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
G
4
A. Sairinen
↑ 67'
D
41
S. Anini
6
P. Juvanteny
9
L. Ivanovic
↑ 55'
F
17
A. Sihvonen
D
24
N. Talo
🎯 83' ↑ 55'
D
15
C. Azongnitode
D
28
T. Vakiparta
↑ 87'
M
VPS 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
41
M. Jalloh
G
2
L. Mane
D
6
E. Okereke
D
23
M. Niemi
↓ 87' 🟨 44'
D
27
K. Kouassivi-Benissan
↓ 78'
M
34
A. Raisanen
↓ 87'
M
8
P. Lima
M
7
J. Turfkruier
M
24
Y. Daoussi
↓ 68'
M
15
L. Smyth
F
11
J. Muzinga
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Piispa
G
14
S. Lindholm
↑ 68'
M
26
R. Forsbacka
M
33
A. Kuek
30
J. Vahtera
↑ 68'
M
19
M. Haukioja
↑ 87'
D
5
V. Ronnberg
D
13
O. Ogunniyi
↑ 78'
D
35
O. Keturi
↑ 87'
F
Last matches: Turku PS
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
Last matches: VPS
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
13.06.26
Vei
VPS
KuPS
1
1
D
22.05.26
Vei
VPS
HJK Helsinki
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
09.05.26
Vei
VPS
Gnistan
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
VPS
Ilves
3
2
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
10.04.26
Vei
VPS
FF Jaro
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
VPS
Haka
1
1
D
20.03.26
Fri
VPS
GIF Sundsvall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fri
VPS
Umeå FC
2
1
W
H2H: Turku PS vs VPS
30.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
08.10.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
3
L
01.09.21
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
2
W
05.05.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
1
D
17.08.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
4
1
W
04.07.18
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
2
0
L
07.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
L
25.08.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
20.07.14
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
0
D
19.04.14
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
1
0
L
18.08.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
2
1
W
16.06.13
H2H
VPS
Turku PS
0
0
D
20.04.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
L
26.09.12
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
Last matches: Turku PS
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Turku PS
30.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
14.03.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
08.10.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
3
L
05.05.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
1
D
17.08.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
4
1
W
07.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
L
20.07.14
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
0
D
18.08.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
2
1
W
20.04.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
L
26.09.12
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
Last matches: VPS
17.06.26
Vei
VPS
SJK
2
1
W
18.05.26
Vei
VPS
Lahti
1
1
D
02.05.26
Vei
VPS
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
VPS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vei
VPS
Inter Turku
0
0
D
14.03.26
Fri
VPS
Turku PS
0
1
L
H2H away: VPS
30.05.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
L
14.03.26
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
L
08.10.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
3
W
05.05.21
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
1
D
17.08.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
4
1
L
07.05.18
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
W
20.07.14
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
0
D
18.08.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
2
1
L
20.04.13
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
0
1
W
26.09.12
H2H
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 5 1 20:11 9 26
D D D W W
2 13 6 6 1 19:12 7 24
W D D W W
3 11 7 1 3 16:8 8 22
D W W W L
4 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D W W L D
5 11 5 2 4 17:15 2 17
W W W L W
6
VPS Away
11 4 5 2 11:9 2 17
W D L W D
7 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
L L W L L
8 12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
W W L W L
9 11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
L L W L D
10 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
L W L L L
11 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
L L L W L
12 10 0 4 6 5:17 -12 4
L L L D D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)