FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
08.09.2026 15:00
Veritas Stadion

Turku PS vs SJK Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds 2.37
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.6%
2.37
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.76
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 79.6%
Draw 5.9%
SJK Win 14.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.26
SJK1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
32 GF / 28 GA
SJK SJK
WLDWL
31 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
14
1.95
Shots on Goal
1.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 27 matches
SJK SJK 27 matches
Turku PS Statistic SJK
10 Wins 6
8 Draws 9
9 Losses 12
32 Goals For 31
28 Goals Against 37
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
14 BTTS Yes 15
18 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 10
1.95 Shots On Goal 1.55
5.35 Total Shots 3.8
2.3 Corners 1.65
24.8% Ball Possession 17.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Turku PS's more proactive style and SJK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward SJK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and SJK in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Turku PS Analysis

So far, Turku PS have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 31 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 28:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

SJK Analysis

From their first 22 matches, SJK have collected 19 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 25:33 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Mastokangas (1 goals), with creative support from J. Streng (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-1-4-1 / SJK 4-4-2

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10
SJK Away
22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)