FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Veritas Stadion
Referee: D. Antamo
Turku PS
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
A. Muzaci · Assist: T. Karkulowski
Turku PS
🟨
22'
A. Vidjeskog
FF Jaro
30'
H. Sjogrell · Assist: F. O. Ness
FF Jaro
39'
H. Sjogrell
FF Jaro
47'
T. Zaal · Assist: E. Turkki
Turku PS
🟨
56'
I. Pinol
Turku PS
🔄
59'
J. Brunell ↔ M. Ogungbaro
FF Jaro
🔄
59'
A. Vidjeskog ↔ E. Gunnarsson
FF Jaro
🔄
59'
V. Vuorinen ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🟨
70'
A. Bjonback
FF Jaro
🔄
70'
M. Konkkola ↔ L. Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
78'
T. Zaal ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🔄
81'
R. Vikstrom ↔ E. Mendy
FF Jaro
🔄
86'
T. Karkulowski ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
86'
P. Juvanteny ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
🟨
89'
E. Mendy
FF Jaro
90'
A. Muzaci · Assist: S. Anini
Turku PS

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds 2.18
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.6%
2.18
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.70
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.94
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
1.96
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Turku PS Win 86.6%
Draw 6.7%
FF Jaro Win 6.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Turku PS1.36
FF Jaro0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
Turku PS Turku PS
WWDLW
16 GF / 16 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
17 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
2
8
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
10
1.67
Shots on Goal
1.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Turku PS Turku PS 17 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 18 matches
Turku PS Statistic FF Jaro
6 Wins 2
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 10
16 Goals For 17
16 Goals Against 36
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2
8 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
1.67 Shots On Goal 1.46
4.5 Total Shots 4.23
2.33 Corners 1.69
19.6% Ball Possession 21.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Turku PS's more proactive style and FF Jaro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FF Jaro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Turku PS arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 15 points compared to FF Jaro in 11 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Turku PS expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FF Jaro in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control.

Turku PS Analysis

With 15 points from 11 games and a place of 7, Turku PS still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats with a 12:11 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 7 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 10:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Sjogrell (4 goals), Rudi Vikstrom (2 goals), A. Bjonback (1 goals), with creative support from F. O. Ness (1 assists), K. Harden (1 assists), Michael Ogungbaro (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Turku PS won 9 times, FF Jaro won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 32:18 from Turku PS's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Turku PS 4-2-3-1 / FF Jaro 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Turku PS wins 9, draws 2, FF Jaro wins 4
Stats
Turku PS Turku PS
FF Jaro FF Jaro
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
8
4 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 5
3 Offsides 0
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 1
4 Blocked Shots 8
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Turku PS
Formation
FF Jaro
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
T. Karkulowski
🎯
T. Karkulowski
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
A. Sihvonen
A. Sihvonen
E. Turkki
🎯
E. Turkki
L. Ikonen
L. Ikonen
P. Juvanteny
P. Juvanteny
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
M. Konkkola
M. Konkkola
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
A. Muzaci
⚽ 2
A. Muzaci
S. Vits
S. Vits
A. Bjonback
A. Bjonback
J. Brunell
J. Brunell
J. Skau
J. Skau
F. O. Ness
🎯
F. O. Ness
A. Vidjeskog
A. Vidjeskog
O. Kass Kawo
O. Kass Kawo
V. Vuorinen
V. Vuorinen
K. Harden
K. Harden
R. Vikstrom
R. Vikstrom
H. Sjogrell
⚽ 2
H. Sjogrell
Turku PS 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
77
T. Karkulowski
🎯 8' ↓ 86'
14
M. Hradecky
17
A. Sihvonen
3
E. Turkki
🎯 47'
26
L. Ikonen
6
P. Juvanteny
↓ 86'
22
T. Zaal
⚽ 47' ↓ 78'
10
M. Konkkola
↓ 70'
11
E. Vauhkonen
29
A. Muzaci
⚽ 8' ⚽ 90'
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
4
A. Sairinen
8
A. Coulibaly
41
S. Anini
🎯 90' ↑ 78'
9
L. Ivanovic
↑ 70'
20
M. Kauppila
↑ 86'
24
N. Talo
15
C. Azongnitode
28
T. Vakiparta
↑ 86'
FF Jaro 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
5
A. Bjonback
🟨 70'
6
J. Brunell
↓ 59'
7
J. Skau
19
F. O. Ness
🎯 30'
16
A. Vidjeskog
↓ 59' 🟨 22'
8
O. Kass Kawo
91
V. Vuorinen
↓ 59'
22
K. Harden
15
R. Vikstrom
↓ 81'
11
H. Sjogrell
⚽ 30' ⚽ 39'
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
2
F. Kass
4
M. Ogungbaro
↑ 59'
3
E. Gunnarsson
↑ 59'
17
L. Nyman
95
E. Mendy
↑ 81' 🟨 89'
24
V. Lofs
27
J. Vikstrom
↑ 59'
30
M. Najafi
Last matches: Turku PS
04.07.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
1
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
0
0
D
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
13.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
Last matches: FF Jaro
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H: Turku PS vs FF Jaro
27.06.26
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
02.05.26
H2H
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
03.10.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
02.06.24
H2H
FF Jaro
Turku PS
0
1
W
13.04.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
3
L
14.07.23
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
0
W
07.05.23
H2H
FF Jaro
Turku PS
3
3
D
17.10.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
0
W
24.09.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
1
W
29.05.22
H2H
FF Jaro
Turku PS
1
2
W
19.03.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
1
2
L
25.09.21
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
1
W
24.07.21
H2H
FF Jaro
Turku PS
0
2
W
Last matches: Turku PS
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Turku PS
27.06.26
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
W
03.10.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
2
L
03.02.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
3
L
14.07.23
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
0
W
17.10.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
0
W
24.09.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
1
W
19.03.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
1
2
L
25.09.21
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
1
W
Last matches: FF Jaro
17.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H away: FF Jaro
27.06.26
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
2
L
03.10.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
2
W
03.02.24
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
3
W
14.07.23
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
0
L
17.10.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
0
L
24.09.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
0
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
3
1
L
19.03.22
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
1
2
W
25.09.21
H2H
Turku PS
FF Jaro
4
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.41
Draw 3.54
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.01
Draw 2.31
Home 2.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.69
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.61
Over 3.25 2.66
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.27
Under 1.5 3.81
Under 2.0 2.91
Under 2.25 2.26
Under 2.5 1.94
Under 2.75 1.74
Under 3.0 1.53
Under 3.25 1.46
Under 3.5 1.36
Under 4.5 1.14
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 3.40
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.50
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.26
Draw 3.44
Home 2.13
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.92
Draw 2.12
Home 2.71
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.48
Home 2.46
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.0 1.00
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.30
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 2.75 2.05
Over 3.0 2.44
Over 3.25 2.75
Over 3.5 3.05
Over 3.75 3.76
Over 4.0 5.15
Over 4.25 5.55
Over 4.5 5.95
Over 4.75 8.35
Over 5.0 8.90
Over 5.5 11.50
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 10.40
Under 1.0 9.00
Under 1.25 4.86
Under 1.5 3.52
Under 1.75 3.14
Under 2.0 2.73
Under 2.25 2.21
Under 2.5 1.91
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.35
Under 3.5 1.29
Under 3.75 1.19
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 4.75 1.03
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 3.30
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.20
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.55
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.0 1.38
Over 2.5 1.79
Over 3.0 2.38
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.0 4.80
Over 4.25 5.10
Over 4.5 5.40
Over 5.0 10.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.0 2.75
Under 2.5 1.89
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.0 1.14
Under 4.25 1.12
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.0 1.04

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 14 8 2 4 20:15 5 26
D L W D W
4 14 6 4 4 25:17 8 22
L W D W W
5 13 5 6 2 17:11 6 21
D W W D L
6 13 5 4 4 19:17 2 19
D D W W W
7 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
W D L L W
8 14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:15 0 13
D D L L W
10 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 14 1 5 8 13:31 -18 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 4 9 6:25 -19 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)