BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Tuna Luso
Match Timeline
Oratório
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
63'
Daniel GTA
Tuna Luso
90'
J. Alves
Tuna Luso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 91.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
91.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Tuna Luso Win 91.9%
Draw 8.1%
Oratório Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tuna Luso2.1
Oratório1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tuna Luso Tuna Luso
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Oratório Oratório
WLDWL
1 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
3
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 2 matches
Oratório Oratório 1 matches
Tuna Luso Statistic Oratório
0 Wins 0
2 Draws 0
0 Losses 1
3 Goals For 1
3 Goals Against 3
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 3
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Tuna Luso arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 2 points compared to Oratório in 6 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Oratório. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oratório having the stronger overall control.

Tuna Luso Analysis

Tuna Luso come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 2 points from 2 matches. The record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 3:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel GTA (1 goals), Franklin Douglas (1 goals), J. Alves (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oratório Analysis

From their first 1 matches, Oratório have collected 0 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 1:3 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Pecel (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Tuna Luso won 1 times, Oratório won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Tuna Luso's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
H2H summary: Tuna Luso wins 1, draws 1, Oratório wins 0
Last matches: Tuna Luso
27.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Iguatu
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
4
L
31.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Oratório
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
2
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
3
3
D
05.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
1
4
L
27.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Humaitá
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manauara
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manaus FC
1
2
L
29.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
3
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
0
0
D
Last matches: Oratório
06.06.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
1
7
L
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
22.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H: Tuna Luso vs Oratório
24.05.26
H2H
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
19.04.26
H2H
Tuna Luso
Oratório
2
0
W
Last matches: Tuna Luso
21.06.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Iguatu
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
2
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Humaitá
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manauara
2
1
W
29.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
3
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
3
0
W
11.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manaus FC
3
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
4
2
W
H2H at home: Tuna Luso
19.04.26
H2H
Tuna Luso
Oratório
2
0
W
Last matches: Oratório
06.06.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
1
7
L
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H away: Oratório
19.04.26
H2H
Tuna Luso
Oratório
2
0
L

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)