VENEZUELA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
25.04.2026 21:30
Estadio Jose Alberto Perez
Referee: Y. Madrid
Trujillanos FC
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Guaira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
32'
A. Polo ↔ D. Livingston
Trujillanos FC
🔄
57'
F. Lunar ↔ Y. Rivas
Deportivo La Guaira
🟨
65'
M. Gonzalez
Trujillanos FC
🔄
69'
R. Arace ↔ A. Rodriguez
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
69'
A. Uribe ↔ J. Paredes
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
69'
F. Caceres ↔ J. Castellanos
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
71'
J. Carmona ↔ R. Morillo
Trujillanos FC
🔄
71'
↔ E. Abreu
Trujillanos FC
🟨
75'
L. Martinez
Deportivo La Guaira
80'
J. Castellanos · Assist: A. Rodriguez
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
87'
C. Faya ↔ M. Gianoli
Deportivo La Guaira
🟨
90+1'
J. Vivas
Trujillanos FC

Trujillanos FC vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 93.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
93.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Trujillanos FC Win 6.5%
Draw 0%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 93.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trujillanos FC0.73
Deportivo La Guaira1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC
WWDLW
9 GF / 25 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
17 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.06
2.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trujillanos FC Trujillanos FC 12 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 16 matches
Trujillanos FC Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
0 Wins 6
4 Draws 8
8 Losses 2
9 Goals For 17
25 Goals Against 11
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
2.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
7 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 1.5
0 Total Shots 5
0 Corners 2.5
0% Ball Possession 32%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo La Guaira's more proactive style and Trujillanos FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo La Guaira carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 24 points while Trujillanos FC sit 14 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Trujillanos FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo La Guaira. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo La Guaira having the stronger overall control.

Trujillanos FC Analysis

Trujillanos FC sit 14 with 4 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 8:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Polo (2 goals), E. Abreu (2 goals), D. Livingston (1 goals), with creative support from F. V. Bareiro Munoz (1 assists), N. Femia (1 assists), J. Ortiz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo La Guaira Analysis

Deportivo La Guaira arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 24 points after 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, while the 14:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Londono (4 goals), A. Rodriguez (2 goals), J. Meza (2 goals), with creative support from J. Vargas (2 assists), A. Uribe (1 assists), C. Faya (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Trujillanos FC won 2 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:27 from Trujillanos FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.79 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Trujillanos FC 4-4-2 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Trujillanos FC wins 2, draws 5, Deportivo La Guaira wins 7

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 5 3 32:18 14 41
W D W L W
2 20 11 7 2 32:15 17 40
D L W W W
3 20 12 4 4 33:20 13 40
W D L W W
4 20 8 8 4 29:19 10 32
D D D W W
5 20 9 5 6 29:26 3 32
D W D W L
6 20 8 7 5 28:19 9 31
D W D W W
7 20 9 3 8 32:30 2 30
D W L L L
8 20 6 9 5 30:21 9 27
L D D W L
9 20 6 6 8 21:28 -7 24
L D W L L
10 20 4 10 6 22:26 -4 22
D D D W L
11 20 6 2 12 23:39 -16 20
W L L L W
12 20 5 3 12 23:33 -10 18
W L D L W
13 20 3 4 13 20:39 -19 13
L L D L L
14 20 2 5 13 16:37 -21 11
L W D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga FUTVE 2