BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Treze
Match Timeline
Sergipe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
Jean Carlo
Treze
30'
Marquinhos
Treze
34'
Buba
Treze
90'
Venicius
Sergipe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 44.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
44.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Treze Win 26.2%
Draw 44.4%
Sergipe Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Treze2.5
Sergipe1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Treze Treze
WWDLW
7 GF / 5 GA
Sergipe Sergipe
WLDWL
3 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
1.5
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Treze Treze 2 matches
Sergipe Sergipe 2 matches
Treze Statistic Sergipe
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
7 Goals For 3
5 Goals Against 2
3.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sergipe having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sergipe.

Treze Analysis

Treze arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 3 points after 2 matches. The record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 7:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo Petrocelli (2 goals), Jean Carlo (2 goals), Vinicius Bala (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sergipe Analysis

Placed 2 with 4 points from 2 outings, Sergipe continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 3:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Matheus Neris (1 goals), Venicius (1 goals), Victor Massaia (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Treze won 2 times, Sergipe won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Treze's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (73.8%)
H2H summary: Treze wins 2, draws 0, Sergipe wins 0
Last matches: Treze
18.07.26
Ser
Treze
Sao Jose
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
Last matches: Sergipe
27.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
Serra Branca
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Decisão
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Treze
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Retrô
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Retrô
3
1
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Decisão
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Serra Branca
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Sergipe
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Sergipe
Santa Cruz
2
1
W
27.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Jequié
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Juazeirense
0
0
D
12.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
2
2
D
28.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Penedense
2
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
União Carmolandense
0
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Barcelona BA
4
1
W
H2H: Treze vs Sergipe
23.05.26
H2H
Sergipe
Treze
0
1
W
19.04.26
H2H
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
Last matches: Treze
12.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
20.04.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H at home: Treze
19.04.26
H2H
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
Last matches: Sergipe
21.06.26
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Decisão
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
1
1
D
04.05.26
Ser
Sergipe
Retrô
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Sergipe
Serra Branca
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Sergipe
Santa Cruz
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
Juazeirense
0
0
D
05.07.25
Ser
Sergipe
ASA
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
União Carmolandense
0
2
L
01.06.25
Ser
Sergipe
Barcelona BA
1
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
Sergipe
Penedense
1
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Sergipe
Lagarto
3
0
W
20.04.25
Ser
Sergipe
Jequié
0
1
L
H2H away: Sergipe
19.04.26
H2H
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Treze Home
10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)