BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Treze Win 61.4%
Draw 6.1%
CRAC Win 32.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Treze1.26
CRAC0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Treze Treze
WWDLW
22 GF / 17 GA
CRAC CRAC
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
0.77
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.62
8
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Treze Treze 13 matches
CRAC CRAC 13 matches
Treze Statistic CRAC
6 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
4 Losses 3
22 Goals For 10
17 Goals Against 8
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.62
8 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together Treze's more proactive style and CRAC's more cautious structure, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. CRAC have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Treze needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CRAC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CRAC having the stronger overall control.

Treze Analysis

Treze enter this tie with a season profile built on 17 points from 10 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 18:14 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

CRAC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, CRAC arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 13 points after 10 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with goals at 7:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Treze won 1 times, CRAC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Treze's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Treze wins 1, draws 1, CRAC wins 0
Last matches: Treze
04.07.26
Ser
Treze
CRAC
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
0
3
L
06.06.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
4
5
L
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
1
D
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
08.06.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
1
L
Last matches: CRAC
04.07.26
Ser
CRAC
Treze
2
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Tombense
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Tombense
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
0
1
L
H2H: Treze vs CRAC
07.09.14
H2H
CRAC
Treze
0
0
D
25.05.14
H2H
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: Treze
28.06.26
Ser
Treze
Jacuipense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Treze
Lagarto
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Treze
Decisão
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Treze
Serra Branca
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Treze
Sergipe
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Treze
Retrô
3
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Treze
America-RN
1
2
L
07.07.25
Ser
Treze
Horizonte
0
2
L
19.06.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz RN
1
2
L
31.05.25
Ser
Treze
Central SC
0
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Treze
Ferroviario
1
0
W
04.05.25
Ser
Treze
Sousa
1
0
W
20.04.25
Ser
Treze
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H at home: Treze
25.05.14
H2H
Treze
CRAC
1
0
W
Last matches: CRAC
27.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Tombense
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
0
1
L
H2H away: CRAC
25.05.14
H2H
Treze
CRAC
1
0
L

Standings

Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
1
Treze Home
10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
3
CRAC Away
10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)