BRAZIL SERIE D
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Trem
Match Timeline
Tocantinópolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Wanderson Gotinha
Trem
8'
Romulo
Tocantinópolis
32'
Mauro Praia
Trem
56'
Mauro Praia
Trem
89'
L. Araujo
Trem

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trem Win 79.6%
Draw 0%
Tocantinópolis Win 20.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trem1.69
Tocantinópolis1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trem Trem
WWDLW
13 GF / 11 GA
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trem Trem 7 matches
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 7 matches
Trem Statistic Tocantinópolis
4 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 2
13 Goals For 9
11 Goals Against 10
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Trem's more proactive style and Tocantinópolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tocantinópolis. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tocantinópolis having the stronger overall control. Trem arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 14 points compared to Tocantinópolis in 5 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Trem come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Trem Analysis

Trem approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 14 points after 7 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 13:11 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Wanderson Gotinha (4 goals), Foguete (3 goals), J. Moreira (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tocantinópolis Analysis

Placed 5 with 9 points from 7 outings, Tocantinópolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Hitalo (2 goals), R. Vieira (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Trem won 2 times, Tocantinópolis won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Trem's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Trem wins 2, draws 0, Tocantinópolis wins 0
Last matches: Trem
13.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
H2H: Trem vs Tocantinópolis
23.05.26
H2H
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
19.04.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
W
Last matches: Trem
04.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
1
2
L
06.06.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
01.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
3
L
21.05.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
1
2
L
14.05.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
5
1
W
20.04.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Trem
23.05.26
H2H
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
0
3
L
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
26.04.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
1
D
H2H away: Tocantinópolis
23.05.26
H2H
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
L

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Trem Home
10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)