Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
81.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.1%
|
- |
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Trans Narva
14 matches
Kuressaare
11 matches
| Trans Narva | Statistic | Kuressaare |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 7 | Losses | 6 |
| 20 | Goals For | 18 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.73 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kuressaare. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kuressaare having the stronger overall control.
Trans Narva approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 6 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 8:11 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Gero (4 goals), S. Agaptsev (2 goals), C. Campagna (1 goals), with creative support from A. Ivanyushin (2 assists), S. Agaptsev (1 assists), C. Campagna (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Kuressaare approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 6 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats with a 7:13 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Kivi (2 goals), R. Talu (2 goals), T. Jurisoo (2 goals), with creative support from R. Talu (2 assists), E. Demidov (1 assists), M. Lukka (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 3 times, Kuressaare won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Trans Narva's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Lineups
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Trans Narva
Vaprus
Trans Narva
Laagri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Trans Narva
Paide
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
Trans Narva
Tammeka
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Laagri
Kuressaare
Paide
Kuressaare
Tammeka
Kuressaare
Nõmme United
Kuressaare
Flora Tallinn
Kuressaare
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
Vaprus
Kuressaare
Viimsi
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 49:16 | 33 | 46 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 12 | 0 | 7 | 39:21 | 18 | 36 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:16 | 17 | 35 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 28:38 | -10 | 26 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 25 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Kuressaare
Away
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 10 |
Trans Narva
Home
|
20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15:47 | -32 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
D
|