ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Referee: R. Maalinn
Trans Narva
Match Timeline
Kalju Nomme
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
M. Orlov · Assist: D. Sotsugov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
30'
J. Doke
Trans Narva
🟨
36'
J. Doke
Trans Narva
🟥
36'
J. Doke
Trans Narva
🔄
46'
V. Shantenkov ↔ S. Agaptsev
Trans Narva
🔄
46'
D. Sotsugov ↔ T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
66'
R. Siht · Assist: T. Baptista
Kalju Nomme
🔄
68'
Elysee ↔ J. Imeh
Trans Narva
🔄
68'
M. Orlov ↔ I. Jabir
Kalju Nomme
🟨
73'
S. Agaptsev
Trans Narva
🔄
75'
O. Musolitin ↔ D. Tarassenkov
Kalju Nomme
🔄
75'
A. Borolinstsikov ↔ A. Nikolajev
Kalju Nomme
🔄
80'
B. Vastsuk ↔ Idalecio
Kalju Nomme
🔄
81'
M. Velijev ↔ A. Skinjov
Trans Narva
🔄
81'
A. Ivanyushin ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🔄
88'
A. Gero ↔ D. Geveller
Trans Narva
🟨
90+2'
N. Ivanov
Kalju Nomme
🟨
90+3'
Idalecio
Kalju Nomme

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trans Narva Win 29%
Draw 15.7%
Kalju Nomme Win 55.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trans Narva1.02
Kalju Nomme2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WWDLW
29 GF / 62 GA
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme
WLDWL
65 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.91
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
15
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trans Narva Trans Narva 29 matches
Kalju Nomme Kalju Nomme 34 matches
Trans Narva Statistic Kalju Nomme
6 Wins 17
5 Draws 9
18 Losses 8
29 Goals For 65
62 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
15 BTTS Yes 19
24 Over 1.5 27
21 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kalju Nomme's more proactive style and Trans Narva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Kalju Nomme. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Kalju Nomme carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 35 points while Trans Narva sit 10 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kalju Nomme having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Trans Narva have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Trans Narva Analysis

Trans Narva sit 10 with 16 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 17:48, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalju Nomme Analysis

Placed 3 with 35 points from 20 outings, Kalju Nomme continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 33:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 5 times, Kalju Nomme won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Trans Narva's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Trans Narva - / Kalju Nomme 4-4-2
H2H summary: Trans Narva wins 5, draws 3, Kalju Nomme wins 7

Lineups

Trans Narva
Formation
Kalju Nomme
M. Zahharov
M. Zahharov
S. Kondrattsev
S. Kondrattsev
C. Campagna
C. Campagna
V. Shantenkov
V. Shantenkov
A. Ivanyushin
A. Ivanyushin
Elysee
Elysee
W. Awusi
W. Awusi
T. Berardozzi
T. Berardozzi
M. Velijev
M. Velijev
A. Gero
A. Gero
J. Doke
J. Doke
M. Pavlov
M. Pavlov
R. Vukusic
R. Vukusic
M. Podholjuzin
M. Podholjuzin
M. Tambedou
M. Tambedou
A. Borolinstsikov
A. Borolinstsikov
O. Musolitin
O. Musolitin
D. Sotsugov
🎯
D. Sotsugov
R. Siht
R. Siht
B. Vastsuk
B. Vastsuk
N. Ivanov
N. Ivanov
M. Orlov
M. Orlov
Trans Narva 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
M. Zahharov
16
S. Kondrattsev
5
C. Campagna
2
V. Shantenkov
↓ 46'
4
A. Ivanyushin
↓ 81'
19
Elysee
↓ 68'
48
W. Awusi
3
T. Berardozzi
7
M. Velijev
↓ 81'
10
A. Gero
↓ 88'
9
J. Doke
🟨 30' 🟨 36' 🟥 36'
Substitutes
27
D. Pareiko
8
S. Agaptsev
↑ 46' 🟨 73'
12
Eriks Santos
17
A. Skinjov
↑ 81'
22
E. Zuravljov
23
A. Jegorov
29
V. Kudriashov
39
D. Poliakov
44
D. Geveller
↑ 88'
70
J. Imeh
↑ 68'
88
A. Besigirskis
↑ 81'
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
69
M. Pavlov
46
R. Vukusic
50
M. Podholjuzin
20
M. Tambedou
4
A. Borolinstsikov
↓ 75'
8
O. Musolitin
↓ 75'
88
D. Sotsugov
🎯 8' ↓ 46'
26
R. Siht
⚽ 66'
59
B. Vastsuk
↓ 80'
10
N. Ivanov
🟨 90+2'
11
M. Orlov
⚽ 8' ↓ 68'
Substitutes
1
H. Perk
5
U. Korre
7
D. Tarassenkov
↑ 75'
17
E. E. Lotar Eyang
21
T. Baptista
🎯 66' ↑ 46'
22
A. Nikolajev
↑ 75'
30
I. Jabir
↑ 68'
52
Idalecio
↑ 80' 🟨 90+3'
74
F. Jekimov
Last matches: Trans Narva
21.08.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
16.08.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
1
D
31.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
2
1
W
18.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
3
1
W
10.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
04.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
21.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
01.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
22.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
0
1
L
16.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
3
1
W
02.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
5
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
09.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
1
0
W
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
28.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
2
L
14.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
10.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
26.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
2
L
22.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
7
1
W
H2H: Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme
26.08.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
08.08.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
01.05.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
03.04.26
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
1
L
17.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
17.08.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
1
2
W
15.06.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
29.01.25
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
0
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
2
2
D
13.07.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
4
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
L
13.01.24
H2H
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
1
0
L
21.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
Last matches: Trans Narva
16.08.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
1
D
18.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
3
1
W
04.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
01.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Super Nova
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Paide
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
3
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tammeka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Trans Narva
26.08.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
0
W
08.08.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
2
L
01.05.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
17.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
13.07.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
4
1
W
21.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
Last matches: Kalju Nomme
22.08.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
0
1
L
23.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne
2
5
L
19.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
0
0
D
16.07.26
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Linfield
2
2
D
03.07.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Nõmme United
3
1
W
20.06.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
1
D
30.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Vaprus
1
3
L
17.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Kuressaare
2
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Trans Narva
3
0
W
19.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Paide
0
1
L
08.04.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Laagri
2
0
W
15.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Flora Tallinn
1
0
W
08.03.26
Mei
Kalju Nomme
Tammeka
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Paide
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
FK Liepaja
5
3
W
23.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Maardu
5
0
W
10.01.26
Fri
Kalju Nomme
Viimsi
3
0
W
24.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
0
1
L
17.07.25
UEF
Kalju Nomme
Partizani
1
0
W
H2H away: Kalju Nomme
26.08.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
0
L
08.08.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
2
W
01.05.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
W
17.09.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
W
13.07.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
2
D
02.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
4
1
L
21.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
2
1
L

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 5 1 61:18 43 56
W W W D W
2 24 13 5 6 43:19 24 44
L W W W D
3 23 14 0 9 45:28 17 42
L W L W L
4 23 11 6 6 38:30 8 39
W D W L W
5 22 11 2 9 27:32 -5 35
W W W L L
6 25 10 1 14 36:41 -5 31
W W L L L
7 24 8 4 12 33:46 -13 28
D L L D L
8 25 8 1 16 42:60 -18 25
L L L L L
9 25 7 4 14 27:41 -14 25
D L W W L
10 24 5 2 17 18:55 -37 17
L D L W W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga