ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Referee: E. Reinumagi
Trans Narva
Match Timeline
FC Levadia Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
S. Burjanadze
Trans Narva
🟨
31'
Alexandre
FC Levadia Tallinn
35'
M. Roosnupp · Assist: B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
43'
B. Tambedou · Assist: M. Roosnupp
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
46'
S. Burjanadze ↔ E. Zuravljov
Trans Narva
🔄
46'
D. Poliakov ↔ V. Kudriashov
Trans Narva
🟨
68'
Joao Pedro
FC Levadia Tallinn
72'
B. Tambedou
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
73'
S. Agaptsev ↔ K. Miranda da Silva
Trans Narva
🔄
73'
A. Gero ↔ N. Baljabkin
Trans Narva
🔄
76'
M. Ainsalu ↔ E. Otoo
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
76'
B. Tambedou ↔ M. Sambe
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
76'
M. Skvortsov ↔ G. Lehtmets
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
83'
J. Doke ↔ A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva
🟨
85'
V. Kudriashov
Trans Narva
🔄
89'
Joao Pedro ↔ R. Kirss
FC Levadia Tallinn
🔄
89'
F. Liivak ↔ Kaua Davi
FC Levadia Tallinn
90'
N. Baljabkin · Assist: A. Besigirskis
Trans Narva

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.4%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trans Narva Win 10%
Draw 3.6%
FC Levadia Tallinn Win 86.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trans Narva0.97
FC Levadia Tallinn2.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WWDLW
23 GF / 54 GA
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn
WLDWL
55 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
2.39
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
12
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trans Narva Trans Narva 25 matches
FC Levadia Tallinn FC Levadia Tallinn 23 matches
Trans Narva Statistic FC Levadia Tallinn
4 Wins 15
5 Draws 5
16 Losses 3
23 Goals For 55
54 Goals Against 24
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.04
12 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Levadia Tallinn's more proactive style and Trans Narva's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Levadia Tallinn carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 43 points while Trans Narva sit 10 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FC Levadia Tallinn look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FC Levadia Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Levadia Tallinn.

Trans Narva Analysis

Trans Narva approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 10 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 13 defeats with a 11:40 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Levadia Tallinn Analysis

FC Levadia Tallinn approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 43 points after 17 outings. The return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 45:13, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trans Narva won 1 times, FC Levadia Tallinn won 12 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:37 from Trans Narva's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Trans Narva - / FC Levadia Tallinn 4-3-3
H2H summary: Trans Narva wins 1, draws 2, FC Levadia Tallinn wins 12
Last matches: Trans Narva
18.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
3
1
W
10.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
21.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
1
L
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
01.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
16.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
28.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
20.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
19.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
4
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
08.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
2
1
W
04.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1
1
D
22.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
2
2
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
0
W
H2H: Trans Narva vs FC Levadia Tallinn
04.07.26
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
26.04.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
7
0
L
31.01.26
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
02.11.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
29.08.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
1
L
27.06.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
2
1
L
14.05.25
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
1
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
22.01.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
02.10.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
0
0
D
29.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
02.03.24
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
6
0
L
01.10.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
L
01.07.23
H2H
FC Levadia Tallinn
Trans Narva
3
0
L
Last matches: Trans Narva
18.07.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
3
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
01.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
11.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Super Nova
1
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Paide
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
3
4
L
17.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tammeka
1
2
L
H2H at home: Trans Narva
04.07.26
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
L
02.11.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
L
05.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
22.01.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
0
W
05.10.24
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
L
29.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
Last matches: FC Levadia Tallinn
09.07.26
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Caernarfon Town
5
0
W
17.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
1
0
W
24.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Vaprus
6
1
W
17.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Paide
3
1
W
02.05.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kuressaare
2
1
W
22.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Tammeka
2
1
W
12.04.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Kalju Nomme
1
1
D
15.03.26
Mei
FC Levadia Tallinn
Laagri
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
FC Levadia Tallinn
Flora Tallinn
0
1
L
07.08.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
FC Differdange 03
3
2
W
29.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Saburtalo
2
2
D
15.07.25
UEF
FC Levadia Tallinn
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Levadia Tallinn
04.07.26
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
4
W
05.04.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
W
22.01.25
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
0
L
05.10.24
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
2
W
29.06.24
H2H
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 14 4 1 49:16 33 46
W L D W W
2 19 12 0 7 39:21 18 36
L W W L W
3 20 10 5 5 33:16 17 35
D W D D L
4 20 9 5 6 32:28 4 32
L W D W W
5 20 8 2 10 28:38 -10 26
L W L W L
6 18 8 2 8 21:26 -5 26
L W W W D
7 20 8 1 11 39:46 -7 25
W W L W L
8 20 8 1 11 30:34 -4 25
W W L L L
9 20 5 3 12 19:33 -14 18
D L L L D
10 20 4 1 15 15:47 -32 13
W L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga