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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
10.10.2026 14:00
Prenton Park
Tranmere
Match Timeline
Rochdale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
Tom Conlon · Assist: Will Vaulks
Tranmere
⚽
57'
Dajaune Brown · Assist: Charlie Tasker
Rochdale
🔄
66'
David Kamara ↔ Charlie Veevers
Tranmere
🔄
68'
Cian Hayes ↔ Emmanuel Dieseruvwe
Rochdale
🔄
82'
dylan jones ↔ Joe Ironside
Tranmere
🔄
88'
K. Taylor ↔ Edward Francis
Rochdale
🟨
90+1'
Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling
Rochdale

Tranmere vs Rochdale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds 1.92
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.8%
1.95 ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
1.73 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
1.92 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.5%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tranmere Win 65.8%
Draw 11.8%
Rochdale Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tranmere1.49
Rochdale1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tranmere Tranmere
WWDLW
14 GF / 12 GA
Rochdale Rochdale
WLDWL
17 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.62
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
8
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tranmere Tranmere 10 matches
Rochdale Rochdale 13 matches
Tranmere Statistic Rochdale
3 Wins 4
5 Draws 3
2 Losses 6
14 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 21
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.62
5 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.11
11.22 Total Shots 8.89
3.33 Corners 4.56
47.9% Ball Possession 53.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Rochdale.

Tranmere Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Tranmere have collected 11 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 12:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Jones (2 goals), T. Ince (1 goals), J. Slater (1 goals), with creative support from T. Ince (2 assists), J. Senior (1 assists), W. Vaulks (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rochdale Analysis

Rochdale sit 11 with 13 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 10:11 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Brown (2 goals), A. Flint (1 goals), C. Tasker (1 goals), with creative support from G. Middleton (2 assists), D. Brown (1 assists), A. Flint (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Tranmere won 2 times, Rochdale won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Tranmere's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Tranmere 4-2-3-1 / Rochdale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tranmere wins 2, draws 4, Rochdale wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League