FINLAND YKKöNEN
--.--.---- --:--
FT
6 - 3
Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass
TPV
Match Timeline
Rops
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
O. Suutari
Rops
38'
J. Venemies
TPV
40'
E. Riikonen
TPV
🔄
46'
V. Puustinen ↔ S. Pitkakoski
TPV
51'
A. Mekki
Rops
61'
R. Kostiainen
TPV
63'
O. Suutari
Rops
🔄
63'
A. Oinas ↔ K. Isometsa
Rops
🔄
63'
T. Varhi ↔ S. Roiha
Rops
65'
L. Jadama
TPV
🔄
66'
R. Kostiainen ↔ A. Kujala
TPV
🔄
66'
T. Toijala ↔ S. Sipila
TPV
75'
S. Sipila
TPV
🔄
76'
B. Ozcelik ↔ T. Ylinen
TPV
🔄
77'
S. McLeod ↔ V. Mantymaki
Rops
🔄
77'
M. Korhonen ↔ T. Listo
Rops
🟨
87'
B. Nijgh
Rops
🔄
87'
M. Akbal ↔ E. Bullock
TPV
🟨
88'
T. Toijala
TPV
90+4'
S. Sipila
TPV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.7%
Odds 1.59
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.7%
1.59
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.42
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
TPV Win 31%
Draw 15.3%
Rops Win 53.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
TPV1.23
Rops2.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
TPV TPV
WWDLW
29 GF / 39 GA
Rops Rops
WLDWL
36 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
2.12
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
9
15
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TPV TPV 21 matches
Rops Rops 17 matches
TPV Statistic Rops
6 Wins 9
5 Draws 6
10 Losses 2
29 Goals For 36
39 Goals Against 17
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 2.12
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 7
11 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Rops's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Rops carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while TPV sit 9 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rops having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rops. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

TPV Analysis

From their first 16 matches, TPV have collected 16 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 19:29 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rops Analysis

Rops come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 29 points after 15 matches. The return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 31:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, TPV won 1 times, Rops won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from TPV's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
H2H summary: TPV wins 1, draws 0, Rops wins 1

Lineups

TPV
Formation
Rops
V. Puustinen
V. Puustinen
B. Özcelik
B. Özcelik
J. Mattila
J. Mattila
F. Heiserholt
F. Heiserholt
A. Mekki
A. Mekki
O. Suutari
⚽ 2
O. Suutari
TPV 2-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
13
V. Puustinen
↓ 46'
D
8
B. Özcelik
↓ 76'
M
25
J. Mattila
D
Substitutes
No substitutes data
Rops 1-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
F. Heiserholt
M
10
A. Mekki
F
9
O. Suutari
⚽ 14' ⚽ 63'
F
Substitutes
20
S. Roiha
↑ 63'
F
13
T. Listo
D
1
T. Korhonen
G
Last matches: TPV
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
Last matches: Rops
25.07.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
4
0
W
20.07.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
1
1
D
10.07.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
05.07.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
4
3
W
27.06.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
2
2
D
13.06.26
Ykk
Rops
VJS
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
Rops
Tampere United
0
1
L
02.06.26
Ykk
Rops
OLS
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ykk
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Rops
FC jazz
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
Rops
TPV
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
3
3
D
25.04.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
7
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Rops
Piteå
1
1
D
H2H: TPV vs Rops
01.08.26
H2H
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
09.05.26
H2H
Rops
TPV
1
0
L
Last matches: TPV
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
H2H at home: TPV
01.08.26
H2H
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
Last matches: Rops
20.07.26
Ykk
Rops
KPV-j
1
1
D
10.07.26
Ykk
Rops
Inter Turku II
2
0
W
13.06.26
Ykk
Rops
VJS
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ykk
Rops
KuPS Akatemia
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ykk
Rops
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
Rops
JJK
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ykk
Rops
PKKU
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ykk
Rops
SalPa
1
1
D
08.02.26
Fri
Rops
Piteå
1
1
D
H2H away: Rops
01.08.26
H2H
TPV
Rops
6
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.59
Draw 4.23
Home 4.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.03
Draw 2.63
Home 4.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.51
Over 3.0 1.65
Over 3.25 1.88
Over 3.5 2.09
Over 3.75 2.34
Over 4.0 2.80
Under 2.5 2.73
Under 2.75 2.46
Under 3.0 2.20
Under 3.25 1.92
Under 3.5 1.72
Under 3.75 1.56
Under 4.0 1.40
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.55
Draw 4.33
Home 4.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.00
Draw 2.62
Home 4.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.83
Draw 3.00
Home 4.33
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.00
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.00
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.58
Draw 4.05
Home 4.56
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 2.42
Home 4.72
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.85
Draw 2.97
Home 4.37
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.25
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 2.75 1.47
Over 3.0 1.58
Over 3.25 1.80
Over 3.5 2.02
Over 3.75 2.29
Over 4.0 2.66
Over 4.25 2.96
Over 4.5 3.20
Over 4.75 3.90
Over 5.0 5.05
Over 5.25 5.35
Over 5.5 5.65
Over 6.0 8.70
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 16.00
Under 1.5 5.55
Under 1.75 5.10
Under 2.0 4.65
Under 2.25 3.28
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 2.75 2.39
Under 3.0 2.12
Under 3.25 1.86
Under 3.5 1.71
Under 3.75 1.55
Under 4.0 1.37
Under 4.25 1.33
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 4.75 1.18
Under 5.0 1.10
Under 5.25 1.09
Under 5.5 1.08
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.64
Draw 3.90
Home 4.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.08
Draw 2.60
Home 3.90
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.35
Over 3.5 1.90
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 4.90
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.73
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.11

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 3 3 35:15 20 36
D D W L W
2
Rops Away
17 9 5 3 38:22 16 32
L W D W W
3 17 7 5 5 32:24 8 26
W D L L D
4 17 7 5 5 33:26 7 26
D W L D W
5 17 7 5 5 31:29 2 26
L L W W D
6 17 6 7 4 31:23 8 25
D D W L W
7 17 7 4 6 40:33 7 25
L L D L W
8 17 7 3 7 24:25 -1 24
D W W L L
9
TPV Home
17 5 4 8 25:32 -7 19
W L W W W
10 17 4 5 8 29:44 -15 17
D D L L W
11 17 3 3 11 17:50 -33 12
W L D L W
12 17 2 5 10 29:41 -12 11
D D L D L