FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.2%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
TPV Win 48.6%
Draw 3.8%
PKKU Win 47.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
TPV1.5
PKKU1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
TPV TPV
WWDLW
40 GF / 48 GA
PKKU PKKU
WLDWL
38 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
17
BTTS Yes
13
17
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TPV TPV 26 matches
PKKU PKKU 21 matches
TPV Statistic PKKU
8 Wins 8
7 Draws 8
11 Losses 5
40 Goals For 38
48 Goals Against 30
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
17 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights PKKU's more proactive style and TPV's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward PKKU having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors PKKU. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

TPV Analysis

TPV sit 9 with 21 points after 20 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 29:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

PKKU Analysis

Placed 3 with 32 points from 21 outings, PKKU continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, while the 38:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, TPV won 1 times, PKKU won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from TPV's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.2%)
H2H summary: TPV wins 1, draws 1, PKKU wins 2
Last matches: TPV
22.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
15.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
1
1
D
11.08.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
1
1
D
05.08.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
4
L
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
24.07.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
4
L
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
Last matches: PKKU
21.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
2
2
D
16.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
11.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
0
W
05.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
VJS
0
0
D
31.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
4
4
D
25.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
VJS
1
3
L
18.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
1
1
D
11.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
2
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
3
4
L
28.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
3
0
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
H2H: TPV vs PKKU
14.06.26
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
2
D
27.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
2
0
L
01.09.15
H2H
PKKU
TPV
0
1
W
02.08.15
H2H
TPV
PKKU
0
1
L
Last matches: TPV
11.08.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
1
1
D
01.08.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
6
3
W
18.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
H2H at home: TPV
02.08.15
H2H
TPV
PKKU
0
1
L
Last matches: PKKU
16.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
KuPS Akatemia
2
2
D
05.08.26
Ykk
PKKU
VJS
0
0
D
25.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
SalPa
1
0
W
05.07.26
Ykk
PKKU
Rops
3
4
L
28.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
KPV-j
3
1
W
06.06.26
Ykk
PKKU
JJK
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Inter Turku II
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ykk
PKKU
Tampere United
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
OLS
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
PKKU
FC jazz
5
1
W
H2H away: PKKU
02.08.15
H2H
TPV
PKKU
0
1
W

Standings

Group Stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 13 5 3 46:16 30 44
W D D W D
2 21 10 7 4 45:32 13 37
L D W D L
3 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
W L D W L
4
PKKU Away
21 8 8 5 38:30 8 32
D D W D D
5 21 7 10 4 38:29 9 31
D D W D D
6 21 8 7 6 41:34 7 31
L D D W W
7 21 8 6 7 30:29 1 30
D W D D D
8 21 7 7 7 47:41 6 28
D D D L L
9
TPV Home
21 6 6 9 30:38 -8 24
W D D L W
10 21 5 5 11 32:49 -17 20
L L L W D
11 21 3 6 12 36:48 -12 15
W D L L D
12 21 4 3 14 23:64 -41 15
L W L L W