FRANCE › LIGUE 1

25.04.2026 19:05

Toulouse

2 - 2

Monaco

Stadium de Toulouse

Referee: C. Turpin

Toulouse

Match Timeline

Monaco

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Toulouse vs Monaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 70%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 79.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 67.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	70%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	79.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	67.6%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Toulouse Win 24.7%

Draw 5.3%

Monaco Win 70%

Expected Goals (xG)

Toulouse1.46

Monaco1.55

Recent Form (Last 5)

Toulouse

WWDLW

48 GF / 50 GA

Monaco

WLDWL

70 GF / 69 GA

Key Stats

1.37

Average Goals Scored

1.63

1.43

Average Goals Conceded

1.6

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.31

Shots on Goal

4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse 35 matches

Monaco 43 matches

Toulouse	Statistic	Monaco
12	Wins	19
9	Draws	10
14	Losses	14
48	Goals For	70
50	Goals Against	69
1.37	Avg Goals Scored	1.63
1.43	Avg Goals Conceded	1.6
17	BTTS Yes	28
23	Over 1.5	31
18	Over 2.5	28
12	Over 3.5	24
10	Clean Sheets	11
10	Failed To Score	8
4.31	Shots On Goal	4.63
12.77	Total Shots	12.74
4.57	Corners	4.81
42.8%	Ball Possession	50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Monaco won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from Toulouse's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)

Predicted formations: Toulouse 3-4-2-1 / Monaco 3-4-2-1

Missing players: Toulouse 4, Monaco 7

H2H summary: Toulouse wins 2, draws 4, Monaco wins 8

Standings

Ligue 1

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Paris Saint Germain	34	24	4	6	74:29	45	76	L W W D W
2	Lens	34	22	4	8	66:35	31	70	W L W D D
3	Lille	34	18	7	9	52:37	15	61	L W D W D
4	Lyon	34	18	6	10	53:40	13	60	L L W W W
5	Marseille	34	18	5	11	63:45	18	59	W W L D L
6	Rennes	34	17	8	9	59:50	9	59	L W L W W
7	Monaco Away	34	16	6	12	60:54	6	54	L L W D D
8	Strasbourg	34	15	8	11	58:47	11	53	W W D L W
9	Lorient	34	11	12	11	48:51	-3	45	L W D L W
10	Toulouse Home	33	12	8	13	47:46	1	44	W W D L L
11	Paris FC	34	11	11	12	47:50	-3	44	W L W L W
12	Stade Brestois 29	34	10	9	15	43:55	-12	39	D L L L D
13	Angers	34	9	9	16	29:48	-19	36	D D L L D
14	Le Havre	34	7	14	13	32:44	-12	35	W L D D D
15	Auxerre	34	8	10	16	34:44	-10	34	W W W L D
16	Nice	34	7	11	16	37:60	-23	32	W D D L D
17	Nantes	33	5	8	20	29:52	-23	23	L W L L D
18	Metz	34	3	8	23	32:76	-44	17	D L L D L

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