Login Register
FRANCE › LIGUE 1
03.09.2026 18:45
Stadium Municipal
Referee: Mathieu Vernice, France
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Lille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Santiago Hidalgo
Toulouse
VAR
34'
Thomas Jørgensen
Toulouse
🔄
46'
C. Verdonk ↔ R. Perraud
Lille
🔄
46'
O. Sahraoui ↔ D. Bakwa
Lille
🔄
57'
S. Hidalgo ↔ J. Vignolo
Toulouse
🔄
57'
O. Giroud ↔ A. Ueda
Lille
🔄
58'
E. Mbappe ↔ N. Mukau
Lille
🔄
65'
J. Russell-Rowe ↔ C. Tengstedt
Toulouse
🔄
66'
R. Messali ↔ I. Diallo
Toulouse
🔄
71'
G. Restes ↔ M. Niflore
Toulouse
🔄
71'
N. Bentaleb ↔ B. Onal
Lille
🔄
72'
A. Vossah ↔ N. Schmidt
Toulouse
⚽
73'
A. Ueda
Lille

Toulouse vs Lille Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 30.3%
Draw 13.9%
Lille Win 55.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.29
Lille2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
6 GF / 8 GA
Lille Lille
WLDWL
17 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
2.43
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
4
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
2
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 5 matches
Lille Lille 7 matches
Toulouse Statistic Lille
1 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
6 Goals For 17
8 Goals Against 10
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.43
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
2 Shots On Goal 6
11.5 Total Shots 10
4 Corners 1.5
48.5% Ball Possession 35%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 3 times, Lille won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from Toulouse's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Lille 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Toulouse 3, Lille 4
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 3, draws 3, Lille wins 9

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2
Lille Away
6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 4 1 1 12:10 2 13
W L W W W
4 6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
W W L D L
10 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W W
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
13 6 2 0 4 9:8 1 6
W L L L L
14 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
15 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
16 6 2 0 4 8:16 -8 6
L W W L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:13 -9 4
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation