FRANCE LIGUE 1
19.09.2026 18:45
Stadium Municipal
Referee: Hakim Ben el Hadj
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Le Havre
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Christ Tape
Toulouse
49'
Casper Tengstedt
Toulouse
51'
Casper Tengstedt · Assist: Thomas Jorgensen
Toulouse
🟨
58'
Niko Sigur
Toulouse
🔄
69'
Rayan Fofana ↔ Enzo Koffi
Le Havre
🔄
69'
Djibril Ouziad ↔ Sota Nakamura
Le Havre
🔄
70'
Vincent Sasso ↔ Junior Mwanga
Le Havre
71'
Josh Maja · Assist: Sota Nakamura
Le Havre
🔄
72'
Casper Tengstedt ↔ Santiago Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
72'
Ilyas Azizi ↔ Sion Oppong
Toulouse
🔄
72'
Rafik Messali ↔ Alexis Vossah
Toulouse
🟨
74'
Seny Koumbassa
Toulouse
79'
Thomas Jorgensen · Assist: Cristian Casseres
Toulouse
🟨
81'
Sota Nakamura
Le Havre
🔄
82'
Josh Maja ↔ Ismail Bouneb
Le Havre
🔄
82'
Amir Richardson ↔ Rassoul Ndiaye
Le Havre
88'
Mbwana Ally Samatta
Le Havre

Toulouse vs Le Havre Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds 4.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
4.95
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 29.9%
Draw 15.1%
Le Havre Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.16
Le Havre1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
8 GF / 11 GA
Le Havre Le Havre
WLDWL
9 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 7 matches
Le Havre Le Havre 10 matches
Toulouse Statistic Le Havre
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
3 Losses 5
8 Goals For 9
11 Goals Against 12
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
5 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 3
4.5 Shots On Goal 4.5
15 Total Shots 15
4.25 Corners 5.25
52.5% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 5 times, Le Havre won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Toulouse's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.9%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-4-2 / Le Havre 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Toulouse 2, Le Havre 8
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 5, draws 2, Le Havre wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
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Qualifying
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