Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Tottenham
Leeds
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tottenham
47 matches
Leeds
40 matches
| Tottenham | Statistic | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 12 |
| 13 | Draws | 15 |
| 19 | Losses | 13 |
| 70 | Goals For | 56 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.35 |
| 11.62 | Total Shots | 13.35 |
| 5.02 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 46.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Tottenham appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Leeds. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Leeds. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tottenham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leeds in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leeds having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Tottenham sit 17 with 37 points after 35 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 45:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Richarlison (10 goals), Cristian Romero (4 goals), J. Palhinha (4 goals), with creative support from M. Kudus (5 assists), X. Simons (5 assists), Richarlison (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without M. Kudus, B. Davies, D. Kulusevski, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Leeds approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 43 points from 35 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 47:52, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through D. Calvert-Lewin (12 goals), Noah Okafor (8 goals), L. Nmecha (6 goals), with creative support from Brenden Aaronson (5 assists), Anton Stach (3 assists), Ilia Gruev (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with G. Gudmundsson, P. Struijk, I. Gruev unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham won 6 times, Leeds won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:12 from Tottenham's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.78 goals per game.
Tottenham
3
4
8
6
5
1
Lineups
Tottenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Tottenham
Everton
Tottenham
Chelsea
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Wolves
Tottenham
Brighton
Tottenham
Sunderland
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Fulham
Tottenham
Arsenal
Tottenham
Newcastle
Tottenham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester City
Tottenham
Eintracht Frankfurt
Tottenham
Burnley
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Brighton
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Bournemouth
Leeds
Wolves
Leeds
Manchester United
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Norwich
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds
Manchester City
Leeds
Aston Villa
Leeds
Birmingham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Arsenal
Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Fulham
Tottenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Tottenham
Everton
Tottenham
Brighton
Tottenham
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Arsenal
Tottenham
Newcastle
Tottenham
Manchester City
Tottenham
Borussia Dortmund
Tottenham
West Ham
Tottenham
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Sunderland
Tottenham
Liverpool
Tottenham
Slavia Praha
Tottenham
Brentford
Tottenham
Fulham
Tottenham
Manchester United
Tottenham
FC Copenhagen
Tottenham
Chelsea
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Bournemouth
Leeds
Manchester United
Leeds
West Ham
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Leeds
Aston Villa
Leeds
Birmingham
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Everton
Leeds
Derby
Leeds
Newcastle
Leeds
Liverpool
Leeds
Sunderland
Leeds
Brentford
Leeds
Manchester City
Leeds
Nottingham Forest
Leeds
Brighton
Leeds
Burnley
Leeds
Wolves
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 |
Leeds
Away
|
38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 |
Tottenham
Home
|
38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|