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ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
19.10.2026 19:00
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Referee: Andrew Madley

Tottenham vs Coventry Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds 2.62
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.05
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 2.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.1%
2.62 ▥
BTTS No
56%
2.05 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
2.42 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
15.00 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
23.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tottenham Win 34.9%
Draw 24.6%
Coventry Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tottenham1.22
Coventry1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tottenham Tottenham
WWDLW
15 GF / 14 GA
Coventry Coventry
WLDWL
10 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
6
BTTS Yes
2
5
Over 2.5
4
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tottenham Tottenham 13 matches
Coventry Coventry 9 matches
Tottenham Statistic Coventry
4 Wins 4
6 Draws 1
3 Losses 4
15 Goals For 10
14 Goals Against 12
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
6 BTTS Yes 2
10 Over 1.5 5
5 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
3.67 Shots On Goal 3.67
13.83 Total Shots 10
7 Corners 3.67
58.2% Ball Possession 38%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tottenham expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Coventry in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Coventry having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Coventry. Coventry arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tottenham Analysis

Tottenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 3 points from 6 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. van Hecke (1 goals), D. Solanke (1 goals), C. Gallagher (1 goals), with creative support from S. Tonali (1 assists), A. Robertson (1 assists), M. Kudus (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Coventry Analysis

Coventry sit 19 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 1:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Dasilva (1 goals), with creative support from C. Rushworth (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Tottenham won 2 times, Coventry won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Tottenham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.4%)
Predicted formations: Tottenham 4-2-3-1 / Coventry 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Tottenham 6, Coventry 4
H2H summary: Tottenham wins 2, draws 0, Coventry wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 19:7 12 21
W W W W W
2 6 5 0 1 10:5 5 15
W L W W W
3 6 4 1 1 18:5 13 13
W W W D L
4 7 4 1 2 17:13 4 13
W W L D L
5 7 3 3 1 9:8 1 12
W L W D W
6 7 2 4 1 13:8 5 10
L D W D D
7 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
8 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
L D W D D
9 7 2 3 2 8:7 1 9
L D L D D
10 7 3 0 4 11:15 -4 9
L W L W L
11 7 2 2 3 10:14 -4 8
L L W L D
12 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
W D W L D
13 6 2 1 3 9:12 -3 7
W D L W L
14 6 1 3 2 9:9 0 6
D D L D W
15 6 2 0 4 5:11 -6 6
W W L L L
16 7 1 2 4 7:10 -3 5
W L D D L
17 6 1 2 3 5:8 -3 5
L L W D D
18 6 1 1 4 6:12 -6 4
L L L D W
19 6 0 3 3 7:13 -6 3
L L D D D
20 6 0 3 3 3:9 -6 3
D L D D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship