GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Referee: K. Revazashvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
Match Timeline
Spaeri
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
G. Samkharadze
Spaeri
🟨
45+1'
M. Simic
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
76'
M. Cherif ↔ L. Kuprava
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
79'
T. Tsalughelashvili ↔ S. Mathenjwa
Spaeri
🔄
82'
T. Nadaraia ↔ L. Pridonishvili
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
84'
P. Poniava ↔ Z. Basilashvili
Spaeri
🟨
86'
G. Bunturi
Spaeri
🔄
90+4'
G. Tsetskhladze ↔ O. Gordeziani
Spaeri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 72%
Draw 6.1%
Spaeri Win 21.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torpedo Kutaisi1.52
Spaeri1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WWDLW
37 GF / 23 GA
Spaeri Spaeri
WLDWL
35 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
14
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 23 matches
Spaeri Spaeri 23 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Statistic Spaeri
10 Wins 7
6 Draws 9
7 Losses 7
37 Goals For 35
23 Goals Against 32
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
14 BTTS Yes 16
16 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Spaeri. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Spaeri having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 26 points from 17 games, Torpedo Kutaisi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by K. Andric (8 goals), G. Arabidze (4 goals), D. Deisadze (3 goals), with creative support from G. Arabidze (8 assists), D. Deisadze (3 assists), V. Mamuchashvili (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Spaeri Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Spaeri have collected 21 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 24:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Samkharadze (4 goals), L. Kokhreidze (4 goals), G. Bunturi (2 goals), with creative support from Z. Golubiani (3 assists), G. Tsirdava (3 assists), S. Gegiadze (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 2 times, Spaeri won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Torpedo Kutaisi wins 2, draws 3, Spaeri wins 1

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 12 6 5 30:19 11 42
D W W W L
2 22 10 7 5 35:26 9 37
W L W W W
3 23 10 7 6 38:32 6 37
W W W D L
4 21 10 4 7 30:24 6 34
L L W L D
5 23 9 5 9 32:41 -9 32
D W L W D
6 23 8 7 8 36:27 9 31
L D W L D
7 22 9 3 10 27:24 3 30
L D W W W
8 23 6 9 8 23:30 -7 27
W L D D D
9 23 5 8 10 30:35 -5 23
L L D L D
10 23 2 8 13 17:40 -23 14
W L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2