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GEORGIA › EROVNULI LIGA
18.10.2026 15:00
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Rustavi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 34%
Draw 15.6%
Rustavi Win 50.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torpedo Kutaisi1.31
Rustavi1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WWDLW
53 GF / 47 GA
Rustavi Rustavi
WLDWL
44 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.51
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1
21
BTTS Yes
18
19
Over 2.5
17
4.32
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 35 matches
Rustavi Rustavi 35 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Statistic Rustavi
12 Wins 16
11 Draws 9
12 Losses 10
53 Goals For 44
47 Goals Against 35
1.51 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1
21 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 17
10 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 8
4.32 Shots On Goal 3.89
4.64 Total Shots 3.64
4.71 Corners 3.82
53.7% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rustavi. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Torpedo Kutaisi expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Rustavi in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rustavi having the stronger overall control.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi sit 6 with 37 points after 28 league matches. The record of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 46:37 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Rustavi Analysis

Placed 1 with 49 points from 28 outings, Rustavi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 35:24 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 5 times, Rustavi won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 / Rustavi 4-3-3
H2H summary: Torpedo Kutaisi wins 5, draws 3, Rustavi wins 4

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 8 6 47:36 11 50
W W D W W
2 28 14 7 7 35:24 11 49
W L W D L
3 28 15 4 9 40:31 9 49
W L W W W
4 28 13 9 6 45:31 14 48
L W W W D
5 28 12 4 12 39:33 6 40
L W L D W
6 28 9 10 9 46:37 9 37
D L W D D
7 28 10 5 13 41:52 -11 35
W L L L L
8 28 6 11 11 25:40 -15 29
L D L D L
9 28 5 11 12 37:46 -9 26
D L L D D
10 28 2 11 15 21:46 -25 17
L D L D D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2