GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
06.09.2026 16:00
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Referee: J. Khorava
Torpedo Kutaisi
Match Timeline
Dinamo Tbilisi
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
30'
Barnes Osei ↔ Lyes Houri
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
52'
Paris Psaltis
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
56'
Giorgi Arabidze
Torpedo Kutaisi
58'
Felipe Pires
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
59'
Mate Vatsadze ↔ Khalid doltmurziev
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
69'
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze ↔ Matthew Gbomadu
Dinamo Tbilisi
🔄
69'
Giorgi Arabidze ↔ Dino Skorup
Torpedo Kutaisi
71'
Khalid doltmurziev · Assist: Matthew Gbomadu
Dinamo Tbilisi
🟨
73'
Dino Skorup
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
84'
luka kuprava ↔ Mateo Itrak
Torpedo Kutaisi

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.5%
Odds 2.61
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.51
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.5%
2.61
BTTS Yes
75%
1.51
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.65
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 27.7%
Draw 5.8%
Dinamo Tbilisi Win 66.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torpedo Kutaisi1.45
Dinamo Tbilisi1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WWDLW
43 GF / 37 GA
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
WLDWL
50 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
16
BTTS Yes
21
16
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 30 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi 33 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Statistic Dinamo Tbilisi
11 Wins 13
8 Draws 10
11 Losses 10
43 Goals For 50
37 Goals Against 49
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
16 BTTS Yes 21
21 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 19
7 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dinamo Tbilisi having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Placed 5 with 31 points from 22 outings, Torpedo Kutaisi continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 36:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Dinamo Tbilisi Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 34 points from 21 games, Dinamo Tbilisi bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 33:25, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 5 times, Dinamo Tbilisi won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 / Dinamo Tbilisi 4-4-2
H2H summary: Torpedo Kutaisi wins 5, draws 6, Dinamo Tbilisi wins 4

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
2 25 12 7 6 31:21 10 43
D L D W W
3 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
4 24 10 9 5 36:27 9 39
D D W L W
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 25 8 9 8 38:29 9 33
D D L D W
7 25 9 5 11 34:46 -12 32
L L D W L
8 25 6 10 9 24:32 -8 28
D L W L D
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 25 2 10 13 19:42 -23 16
D D W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2