🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Field
Referee: M. Venne
Toronto FC
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
D. Salloi · Assist: J. Osorio
Toronto FC
13'
P. Judd · Assist: N. Tsakiris
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
17'
Beau Leroux
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
37'
Ronaldo Vieira
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
46'
L. Stefanovic ↔ M. Chisholm
Toronto FC
🔄
54'
N. Tsakiris ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
66'
P. Judd ↔ P. Marie
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
66'
J. Skahan ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
67'
M. Henry ↔ D. Etienne
Toronto FC
🔄
68'
E. Aristizabal ↔ D. Kerr
Toronto FC
🟨
75'
Jonathan Osorio
Toronto FC
🔄
75'
M. Cimermancic ↔ A. Bossenberry
Toronto FC
🟨
90+1'
Alonso Coello
Toronto FC
🔄
90+5'
Z. Monlouis ↔ W. Zimmerman
Toronto FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Toronto FC Win 25.3%
Draw 3.1%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 71.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toronto FC1.36
San Jose Earthquakes1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toronto FC Toronto FC
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
WLDWL
31 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
2.21
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
11
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
7
5
Shots on Goal
6.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toronto FC Toronto FC 15 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 14 matches
Toronto FC Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
6 Wins 12
5 Draws 0
4 Losses 2
27 Goals For 31
24 Goals Against 10
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.21
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
11 BTTS Yes 5
13 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 6.1
11.8 Total Shots 15.8
6 Corners 7.5
47.8% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward San Jose Earthquakes. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and San Jose Earthquakes in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Jose Earthquakes having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. San Jose Earthquakes look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. San Jose Earthquakes carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while Toronto FC sit 6 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Toronto FC Analysis

So far, Toronto FC have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 13 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 17:19 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Salloi (3 goals), J. Sargent (2 goals), K. Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from D. Salloi (2 assists), D. Mihailovic (2 assists), A. Coello (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 27 points from 10 games, San Jose Earthquakes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 25:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Judd (6 goals), O. Bouda (5 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), with creative support from T. Werner (3 assists), Niko Tsakiris (3 assists), B. Leroux (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 3 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Toronto FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.9%)
Predicted formations: Toronto FC 4-1-4-1 / San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Toronto FC 10, San Jose Earthquakes 4
H2H summary: Toronto FC wins 3, draws 5, San Jose Earthquakes wins 4
Stats
Toronto FC Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
1
8 Corner Kicks 9
17 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 5
6 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 0
404 Total passes 426
321 Passes accurate 350
0.83 expected_goals 1.09
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toronto FC
Formation
San Jose Earthquakes
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
K. Franklin
K. Franklin
Z. Monlouis
Z. Monlouis
L. Stefanovic
L. Stefanovic
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
A. Coello
A. Coello
J. Osorio
🎯
J. Osorio
M. Henry
M. Henry
M. Cimermancic
M. Cimermancic
D. Salloi
D. Salloi
E. Aristizabal
E. Aristizabal
Daniel
Daniel
B. Kikanovic
B. Kikanovic
D. Munie
D. Munie
R. Roberts
R. Roberts
J. Ricketts
J. Ricketts
R. Vieira
R. Vieira
B. Leroux
B. Leroux
O. Bouda
O. Bouda
N. Tsakiris
🎯
N. Tsakiris
J. Skahan
J. Skahan
P. Judd
P. Judd
Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Gavran
G
19
K. Franklin
D
12
Z. Monlouis
↓ 90+5'
D
76
L. Stefanovic
↓ 46'
D
44
R. Edwards
D
14
A. Coello
🟨 90+1'
M
21
J. Osorio
🎯 2' 🟨 75'
M
78
M. Henry
↓ 67'
M
71
M. Cimermancic
↓ 75'
M
20
D. Salloi
⚽ 2'
M
17
E. Aristizabal
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
23
W. Yarbrough
G
77
A. De Rosario
G
11
D. Etienne
↑ 67'
F
73
M. Chisholm
↑ 46'
D
25
W. Zimmerman
↑ 90+5'
D
29
D. Kerr
↑ 68'
F
64
J. Nolan
F
56
A. Bossenberry
↑ 75'
M
79
F. Bank
F
San Jose Earthquakes 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
42
Daniel
G
28
B. Kikanovic
D
5
D. Munie
D
18
R. Roberts
D
2
J. Ricketts
D
14
R. Vieira
🟨 37'
M
34
B. Leroux
🟨 17'
M
7
O. Bouda
M
10
N. Tsakiris
🎯 13' ↓ 54'
M
16
J. Skahan
↓ 66'
M
19
P. Judd
⚽ 13' ↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
22
N. Crockford
G
4
D. Romney
D
40
J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
M
3
P. Marie
↑ 66'
D
17
J. Jasinski
D
32
N. Adimabua
F
6
I. Harkes
↑ 66'
M
20
N. Fernandez
↑ 54'
M
25
M. Floriani
D
Last matches: Toronto FC
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
17.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
10.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
23.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Austin
5
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
05.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
3
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
New York City FC
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
Charlotte
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
0
2
L
H2H: Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes
02.05.26
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
26.03.23
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
0
0
D
09.07.22
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
2
D
29.02.20
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
2
2
D
26.05.19
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
2
L
19.08.18
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
1
1
D
09.09.17
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
0
W
17.07.16
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
2
1
L
30.05.15
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
W
07.06.14
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
09.05.13
H2H
San Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FC
2
1
L
24.03.12
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
Last matches: Toronto FC
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
H2H at home: Toronto FC
02.05.26
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
09.07.22
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
2
D
26.05.19
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
2
L
09.09.17
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
0
W
30.05.15
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
W
07.06.14
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
24.03.12
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
Last matches: San Jose Earthquakes
24.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Portland Timbers
3
1
W
14.05.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
2
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
3
2
W
19.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
12.04.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Sporting Kansas City
3
1
W
22.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
San Jose Earthquakes
San Diego
0
2
L
H2H away: San Jose Earthquakes
02.05.26
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
09.07.22
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
2
2
D
26.05.19
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
2
W
09.09.17
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
4
0
L
30.05.15
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
3
1
L
07.06.14
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
L
24.03.12
H2H
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Toronto FC 10 missing
-
B. Kuscevic
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
T. Corbeanu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Gomis
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Pereira
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
H. Wingo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Mihailovic
Missing Fixture Pelvis Injury
OUT
-
R. Laryea
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Cifuentes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Vilsaint
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Sargent
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
San Jose Earthquakes 4 missing
-
D. Jones
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Vitor Costa
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
T. Werner
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
E. Edwards
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT