🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
BMO Field
Referee: V. Rivas
Toronto FC
Match Timeline
Inter Miami
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
44'
R. de Paul
Inter Miami
🟨
51'
Raheem Edwards
Toronto FC
56'
L. Suarez · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
🟨
61'
Luis Suárez
Inter Miami
🔄
66'
M. Cimermancic ↔ D. Etienne
Toronto FC
🔄
66'
D. Kerr ↔ E. Aristizabal
Toronto FC
🔄
68'
N. Allen ↔ S. Reguilon
Inter Miami
🔄
70'
R. Edwards ↔ M. Chisholm
Toronto FC
73'
S. Reguilon · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
75'
L. Messi · Assist: R. de Paul
Inter Miami
🔄
78'
Y. Bright ↔ D. Ayala
Inter Miami
🔄
78'
T. Segovia ↔ P. Plambeck
Inter Miami
🔄
79'
L. Suarez ↔ D. Pinter
Inter Miami
82'
E. Aristizabal · Assist: D. Salloi
Toronto FC
🟨
89'
Daniel Pinter
Inter Miami
90'
E. Aristizabal · Assist: K. Franklin
Toronto FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Toronto FC Win 24.9%
Draw 4.4%
Inter Miami Win 70.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toronto FC1.69
Inter Miami1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toronto FC Toronto FC
WWDLW
28 GF / 25 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
29 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.59
12
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
12
4.73
Shots on Goal
6.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toronto FC Toronto FC 16 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 17 matches
Toronto FC Statistic Inter Miami
6 Wins 7
6 Draws 7
4 Losses 3
28 Goals For 29
25 Goals Against 27
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 1.59
12 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 15
10 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
4.73 Shots On Goal 6.08
11.73 Total Shots 15.15
6.18 Corners 5.46
47.8% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Inter Miami's more proactive style and Toronto FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Miami. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toronto FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Inter Miami in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Miami having the stronger overall control.

Toronto FC Analysis

So far, Toronto FC have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 14 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 18:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Salloi (4 goals), J. Sargent (2 goals), K. Franklin (2 goals), with creative support from D. Salloi (2 assists), D. Mihailovic (2 assists), A. Coello (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Miami Analysis

Placed 3 with 19 points from 11 outings, Inter Miami continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Messi (8 goals), G. Berterame (3 goals), L. Suarez (2 goals), with creative support from Telasco Segovia (5 assists), G. Berterame (2 assists), M. Silvetti (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Toronto FC won 2 times, Inter Miami won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:29 from Toronto FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Toronto FC 4-2-3-1 / Inter Miami 3-4-3
Missing players: Toronto FC 11, Inter Miami 4
H2H summary: Toronto FC wins 2, draws 2, Inter Miami wins 10
Stats
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Inter Miami Inter Miami
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
9 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 7
7 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
370 Total passes 581
305 Passes accurate 505
0.81 expected_goals 1.77
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toronto FC
Formation
Inter Miami
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
K. Franklin
🎯
K. Franklin
W. Zimmerman
W. Zimmerman
Z. Monlouis
Z. Monlouis
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
A. Coello
A. Coello
J. Osorio
J. Osorio
M. Henry
M. Henry
M. Cimermancic
M. Cimermancic
D. Salloi
🎯
D. Salloi
D. Kerr
D. Kerr
D. St.Clair
D. St.Clair
F. Mura
F. Mura
G. Lujan
G. Lujan
Micael
Micael
N. Allen
N. Allen
R. de Paul
🎯
R. de Paul
Y. Bright
Y. Bright
T. Segovia
T. Segovia
L. Messi
🎯
L. Messi
L. Suarez
L. Suarez
G. Berterame
G. Berterame
Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Gavran
G
19
K. Franklin
🎯 90'
D
25
W. Zimmerman
D
12
Z. Monlouis
D
44
R. Edwards
↓ 70' 🟨 51'
D
14
A. Coello
M
21
J. Osorio
M
78
M. Henry
M
71
M. Cimermancic
↓ 66'
M
20
D. Salloi
🎯 82'
M
29
D. Kerr
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
23
W. Yarbrough
G
77
A. De Rosario
G
11
D. Etienne
↑ 66'
F
73
M. Chisholm
↑ 70'
D
98
S. Kapor
D
15
N. Gomis
D
17
E. Aristizabal
⚽ 82' ⚽ 90' ↑ 66'
F
64
J. Nolan
F
79
F. Bank
F
Inter Miami 4-3-3
Starting XI
97
D. St.Clair
G
4
F. Mura
D
2
G. Lujan
D
16
Micael
D
32
N. Allen
↓ 68'
D
7
R. de Paul
⚽ 44' 🎯 75'
M
42
Y. Bright
↓ 78'
M
8
T. Segovia
↓ 78'
M
10
L. Messi
⚽ 75' 🎯 56' 🎯 73'
F
9
L. Suarez
⚽ 56' ↓ 79' 🟨 61'
F
19
G. Berterame
F
Substitutes
34
R. Rios
G
3
S. Reguilon
⚽ 73' ↑ 68'
D
22
D. Ayala
↑ 78'
M
37
M. Falcon
D
56
D. Pinter
↑ 79' 🟨 89'
F
41
D. Ruiz
M
24
M. Silvetti
F
59
P. Plambeck
↑ 78'
M
88
A. Shaw
M
Last matches: Toronto FC
22.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New England Revolution
0
0
D
16.07.26
Maj
Toronto FC
CF Montreal
0
0
D
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
16.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Charlotte
1
3
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
Last matches: Inter Miami
22.07.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
3
2
W
24.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union
6
4
W
17.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
5
3
W
02.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
3
4
L
25.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New England Revolution
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
11.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York Red Bulls
2
2
D
04.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Austin
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York City FC
3
2
W
18.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
1
1
D
14.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Charlotte
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
DC United
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
4
2
W
27.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
H2H: Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
09.05.26
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
27.09.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
1
1
D
06.04.25
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
L
08.08.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
4
3
L
17.07.24
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
3
1
L
20.09.23
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
4
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
0
W
30.09.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
L
21.08.22
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
2
1
L
20.10.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
3
0
L
14.09.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
L
22.08.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
3
1
L
11.04.21
H2H
Inter Miami
Toronto FC
0
0
D
02.11.20
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
1
W
Last matches: Toronto FC
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
H2H at home: Toronto FC
09.05.26
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
27.09.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
0
W
30.09.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
L
14.09.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
L
02.11.20
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
1
W
Last matches: Inter Miami
13.05.26
Maj
Inter Miami
FC Cincinnati
5
3
W
23.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Real Salt Lake
2
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
22.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
New York City FC
3
2
W
14.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Charlotte
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Inter Miami
Nashville SC
0
0
D
07.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
DC United
2
1
W
02.03.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Orlando City SC
4
2
W
27.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
2
1
W
22.02.26
Maj
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
0
3
L
08.02.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Atletico Nacional
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Inter Miami
Alianza Lima
0
3
L
H2H away: Inter Miami
09.05.26
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
W
27.09.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
0
L
30.09.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
W
14.09.21
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
0
1
W
02.11.20
H2H
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
1
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 3 1 33:11 22 39
W W W W W
2 16 10 4 2 42:30 12 34
W W W W W
3 15 8 2 5 29:19 10 26
L W W W L
4 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
D L W L W
5 16 6 5 5 40:40 0 23
W W D L D
6 16 6 4 6 27:22 5 22
W L D W W
7 16 6 4 6 26:25 1 22
D W W L D
8 16 6 4 6 26:35 -9 22
L W D W W
9 16 4 7 5 22:26 -4 19
D D D L D
10 16 5 2 9 27:44 -17 17
W L D W L
11 16 4 4 8 22:25 -3 16
L W D L L
12 16 3 7 6 22:29 -7 16
D D L L L
13 16 4 3 9 22:32 -10 15
L D D L D
14 16 3 3 10 16:26 -10 12
D L L D L
15 16 2 4 10 21:31 -10 10
W L D L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Toronto FC 11 missing
-
B. Kuscevic
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
T. Corbeanu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Gomis
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Pereira
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
H. Wingo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Mihailovic
Missing Fixture Pelvis Injury
OUT
-
R. Laryea
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Cifuentes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Vilsaint
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Sargent
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
L. Stefanovic
Questionable Injury
OUT
Inter Miami 4 missing
-
S. Reguilon
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
I. Fray
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
D. Ayala
Questionable Groin Injury
OUT
-
M. Silvetti
Questionable Foot Injury
OUT