Login Register
ITALY › SERIE A
23.10.2026 18:45
Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Torino vs Monza Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Torino Win 45.4%
Draw 20.2%
Monza Win 34.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torino1.32
Monza1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torino Torino
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Monza Monza
WLDWL
31 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.93
6
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
12
2.75
Shots on Goal
6.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torino Torino 12 matches
Monza Monza 15 matches
Torino Statistic Monza
5 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
11 Goals For 31
12 Goals Against 29
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.93
6 BTTS Yes 11
7 Over 1.5 14
4 Over 2.5 12
0 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 0
2.75 Shots On Goal 6.11
10.75 Total Shots 15.67
4.13 Corners 4.78
54.1% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Monza arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Monza. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Torino Analysis

From their first 6 matches, Torino have collected 7 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Kulenović (2 goals), P. Comuzzo (1 goals), C. Adams (1 goals), with creative support from A. Cacciamani (1 assists), E. Cömert (1 assists), R. Belghali (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Monza Analysis

With 4 points from 6 games and a place of 16, Monza still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 9:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gustavo Varela (4 goals), Ricardo Mangas (1 goals), A. Colpani (1 goals), with creative support from Ricardo Mangas (2 assists), S. Birindelli (2 assists), E. Akinsanmiro (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Torino won 4 times, Monza won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from Torino's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.8%)
Predicted formations: Torino 3-4-2-1 / Monza 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Torino 2, Monza 0
H2H summary: Torino wins 4, draws 3, Monza wins 0

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 21:9 12 19
W W D W W
2 7 6 1 0 14:4 10 19
W W W D W
3 7 5 2 0 16:3 13 17
W D D W W
4 7 4 3 0 14:7 7 15
W D W D D
5 7 4 2 1 12:7 5 14
W D L W W
6 7 4 1 2 13:9 4 13
W L W D W
7 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
8 7 3 2 2 9:8 1 11
L D W L D
9 7 3 1 3 10:7 3 10
L W D W L
10 7 3 0 4 10:11 -1 9
L W L L L
11 7 3 0 4 9:12 -3 9
W L L W L
12 7 2 2 3 12:14 -2 8
L D L W D
13 6 2 1 3 7:9 -2 7
W D L W L
14 7 1 2 4 6:10 -4 5
L W D L D
15
Monza Away
6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
16 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
17 7 1 1 5 9:16 -7 4
L L L L L
18 7 1 1 5 5:13 -8 4
L W L D L
19 7 1 1 5 8:17 -9 4
L L D W L
20 7 1 0 6 6:16 -10 3
W L L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation