19.07.2026 10:00

Tondela vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tondela Win 39.5%
Draw 30.3%
Nacional Win 30.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tondela1.6
Nacional1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tondela Tondela
WWDLW
1 GF / 0 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
4 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2
0
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
0
BTTS Yes
2
0
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tondela Tondela 1 matches
Nacional Nacional 2 matches
Tondela Statistic Nacional
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
1 Goals For 4
0 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 2
0 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
0 BTTS Yes 2
0 Over 1.5 2
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tondela won 5 times, Nacional won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Tondela's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (69.7%)
Predicted formations: Tondela - / Nacional 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Tondela wins 5, draws 3, Nacional wins 7