BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida
Tombense
Match Timeline
Democrata GV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
Cesar
Tombense
57'
Donato
Tombense
67'
T. Cunha
Democrata GV
70'
Luiz Felipe
Tombense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tombense Win 76.6%
Draw 0%
Democrata GV Win 23.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tombense0.87
Democrata GV0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tombense Tombense
WWDLW
6 GF / 3 GA
Democrata GV Democrata GV
WLDWL
6 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tombense Tombense 6 matches
Democrata GV Democrata GV 6 matches
Tombense Statistic Democrata GV
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
6 Goals For 6
3 Goals Against 4
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Democrata GV. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Democrata GV having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tombense Analysis

Tombense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 6:3 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cesar (2 goals), Diego Leandro (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Democrata GV Analysis

Democrata GV arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 10 points after 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 6:4 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Chico Bala (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Tombense won 3 times, Democrata GV won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Tombense's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Tombense wins 3, draws 1, Democrata GV wins 3
Last matches: Tombense
27.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
1
0
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
29.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: Tombense vs Democrata GV
16.05.26
H2H
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
W
25.04.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
L
25.01.26
H2H
Tombense
Democrata GV
2
0
W
26.01.25
H2H
Democrata GV
Tombense
0
1
W
07.02.24
H2H
Democrata GV
Tombense
2
2
D
03.04.22
H2H
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
L
16.02.22
H2H
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
L
Last matches: Tombense
27.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
14.06.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
0
W
H2H at home: Tombense
16.05.26
H2H
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
W
25.01.26
H2H
Tombense
Democrata GV
2
0
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
21.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Ivinhema
1
3
L
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
H2H away: Democrata GV
16.05.26
H2H
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
L
25.01.26
H2H
Tombense
Democrata GV
2
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)