BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida
Tombense
Match Timeline
CRAC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
90+5'
Tombense
Tombense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.2%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tombense Win 67.2%
Draw 6.1%
CRAC Win 26.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tombense0.96
CRAC0.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tombense Tombense
WWDLW
13 GF / 7 GA
CRAC CRAC
WLDWL
8 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
4
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tombense Tombense 11 matches
CRAC CRAC 11 matches
Tombense Statistic CRAC
4 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 3
13 Goals For 8
7 Goals Against 7
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
4 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Tombense's more proactive style and CRAC's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward CRAC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors CRAC.

Tombense Analysis

Tombense come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 17 points from 10 matches. With 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 13:6, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Cesar (3 goals), Luiz Felipe (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

CRAC Analysis

CRAC enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Tombense won 0 times, CRAC won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:1 from Tombense's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
H2H summary: Tombense wins 0, draws 1, CRAC wins 1
Last matches: Tombense
21.06.26
Ser
Tombense
CRAC
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
1
0
W
Last matches: CRAC
04.07.26
Ser
CRAC
Treze
2
1
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Tombense
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
0
1
L
H2H: Tombense vs CRAC
27.06.26
H2H
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
21.06.26
H2H
CRAC
Tombense
1
0
L
Last matches: Tombense
14.06.26
Ser
Tombense
Vitória ES
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Democrata GV
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Tombense
Rio Branco ES
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tombense
Porto BA
3
0
W
H2H at home: Tombense
27.06.26
H2H
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D
Last matches: CRAC
31.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Operario Ferroviario
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
CRAC
Ipatinga
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
CRAC
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Uberlandia
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRAC
Ivinhema
0
1
L
H2H away: CRAC
27.06.26
H2H
Tombense
CRAC
0
0
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3
CRAC Away
10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)