22.07.2026 03:05

Toluca

1 - 2

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Referee: Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez, Mexico

Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Toluca

Match Timeline

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 43.9%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.2%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 58.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	43.9%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.2%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	58.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	71.3%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Toluca Win 43.9%

Draw 15%

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 41.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Toluca2.08

U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.08

Recent Form (Last 5)

Toluca

W D L D W

10 GF / 5 GA

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

L L W W L

5 GF / 8 GA

Key Stats

2.4

Average Goals Scored

1.2

Average Goals Conceded

1.6

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

7.38

Shots on Goal

4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca 10 matches

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 5 matches

Toluca	Statistic	U.N.A.M. - Pumas
5	Wins	2
2	Draws	0
3	Losses	3
24	Goals For	5
12	Goals Against	8
2.4	Avg Goals Scored	1
1.2	Avg Goals Conceded	1.6
5	BTTS Yes	1
9	Over 1.5	3
7	Over 2.5	3
5	Over 3.5	1
4	Clean Sheets	2
1	Failed To Score	2
7.38	Shots On Goal	4.67
18.13	Total Shots	12.67
3.88	Corners	3.67
58.9%	Ball Possession	50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 4 times, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (85%)

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-3-3

H2H summary: Toluca wins 4, draws 6, U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 5

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Club America	13	8	3	2	33:18	15	27	L W W D W
2	Cruz Azul	14	8	2	4	32:23	9	26	W W W D D
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	7	5	2	21:12	9	26	W W D D L
4	Atlas	14	7	3	4	25:26	-1	24	W L W D W
5	Toluca Home	14	6	5	3	29:19	10	23	D D D L D
6	Leon	14	6	4	4	21:18	3	22	D W L D W
7	Monterrey	13	6	2	5	23:18	5	20	L W W D L
8	Club Tijuana	13	5	5	3	21:17	4	20	W D D D L
9	Club Queretaro	13	6	2	5	17:18	-1	20	L L L W W
10	Santos Laguna	14	6	1	7	20:20	0	19	L W W W W
11	Atletico San Luis	14	5	4	5	19:22	-3	19	W W D L W
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas Away	14	4	5	5	20:23	-3	17	D L W D L
13	CF Pachuca	14	4	4	6	22:19	3	16	W L L D L
14	Puebla	14	4	4	6	16:21	-5	16	L L D D L
15	Tigres UANL	14	3	6	5	15:19	-4	15	D L D W W
16	Atlante FC	14	3	5	6	14:20	-6	14	L W L L W
17	Necaxa	14	2	4	8	16:27	-11	10	D L L D L
18	FC Juarez	14	1	2	11	9:33	-24	5	D L L D L

Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)