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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
FT
1 - 2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: V. Caceres
Toluca
Match Timeline
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
J. Diaz Price · Assist: Helinho
Toluca
🟨
17'
Helinho
Toluca
🔄
46'
P. Bennevendo ↔ S. Cordova
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
57'
V. Arteaga · Assist: R. Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
63'
S. Cordova · Assist: R. Lopez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
66'
A. Vega ↔ J. Gallardo
Toluca
🔄
66'
V. Guzman ↔ N. Castro
Toluca
🔄
66'
J. Angulo ↔ F. Romero
Toluca
🔄
76'
B. A. Garcia Caprizo ↔ C. Carrillo
Toluca
🟨
80'
Rodrigo Lopez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
86'
D. Barbosa ↔ S. Simon
Toluca
🔄
88'
Juninho ↔ A. Medina
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
90+1'
R. Morales ↔ G. Martinez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
90+6'
U. Antuna ↔ T. Leone
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 43.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
43.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 43.9%
Draw 15%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 41.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.02
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
23 GF / 11 GA
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
4
BTTS Yes
1
7
Over 2.5
3
7.38
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 10 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 5 matches
Toluca Statistic U.N.A.M. - Pumas
5 Wins 2
2 Draws 0
3 Losses 3
23 Goals For 5
11 Goals Against 8
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
4 BTTS Yes 1
8 Over 1.5 3
7 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 2
7.38 Shots On Goal 4.67
18.13 Total Shots 12.67
3.88 Corners 3.67
58.9% Ball Possession 50.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 4 times, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-3-3
H2H summary: Toluca wins 4, draws 6, U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 5
Stats
Toluca Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 1
4 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 2
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 4
8 Blocked Shots 1
11 Shots insidebox 4
6 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
576 Total passes 306
489 Passes accurate 234
1.21 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
H. Gonzalez
H. Gonzalez
D. Barbosa
↓
D. Barbosa
Bruno Mendez
Bruno Mendez
Luan
Luan
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
↓
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
V. Guzman
↓
V. Guzman
F. Arce
F. Arce
Helinho
🎯
Helinho
J. Angulo
↓
J. Angulo
A. Vega
↓
A. Vega
J. Diaz Price
⚽
J. Diaz Price
K. Navas
K. Navas
P. Bennevendo
↓
P. Bennevendo
Nathan Silva
Nathan Silva
R. Duarte
R. Duarte
A. Angulo
A. Angulo
R. Lopez
🎯
R. Lopez
P. Vite
P. Vite
V. Arteaga
⚽
V. Arteaga
U. Antuna
↓
U. Antuna
Juninho
↓
Juninho
R. Morales
🎯 ↓
R. Morales
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
H. Gonzalez
G
2
D. Barbosa
↓ 86'
D
4
Bruno Mendez
D
13
Luan
D
17
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
↓ 76'
D
7
V. Guzman
↓ 66'
M
24
F. Arce
M
11
Helinho
🎯 14' 🟨 17'
M
10
J. Angulo
↓ 66'
M
9
A. Vega
↓ 66'
M
29
J. Diaz Price
⚽ 14'
F
Substitutes
22
L. Garcia
G
35
E. Gutierrez
M
19
S. Simon
↑ 86'
M
6
F. Pereira
D
3
A. Briseno
D
20
J. Gallardo
↑ 66'
D
8
N. Castro
↑ 66'
M
5
F. Romero
↑ 66'
M
25
E. del Villar
D
191
C. Carrillo
↑ 76'
F
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
K. Navas
G
2
P. Bennevendo
↓ 46'
D
6
Nathan Silva
D
5
R. Duarte
D
77
A. Angulo
D
7
R. Lopez
🎯 63' 🟨 80'
M
45
P. Vite
M
18
V. Arteaga
⚽ 57'
M
21
U. Antuna
↓ 90+6'
F
23
Juninho
↓ 88'
F
31
R. Morales
🎯 57' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
35
P. Lara
G
9
G. Martinez
↑ 90+1'
F
22
A. Medina
↑ 88'
F
24
T. Leone
↑ 90+6'
D
199
K. Carranza
34
A. Azuaje
D
12
C. Calderon
D
17
S. Cordova
⚽ 63' ↑ 46'
M
20
S. Trigos
M
203
S. Garcia
M
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
Last matches: U.N.A.M. - Pumas
01.08.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC Juarez
5
1
W
18.07.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
0
3
L
12.07.26
Fri
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
America de Cali
0
1
L
05.07.26
Fri
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cancún
3
0
W
25.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
0
0
D
18.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
11.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
3
3
D
03.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
3
3
D
25.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC Juarez
4
2
W
18.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Atletico San Luis
2
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Mazatlán
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
22.03.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Necaxa
1
0
W
04.03.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
H2H: Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
22.07.26
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
04.03.26
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
2
3
W
17.08.25
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
30.01.25
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
18.03.24
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
19.08.23
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
1
1
D
16.04.23
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
3
1
L
14.12.22
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
1
1
D
11.09.22
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
11.01.22
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
5
0
L
21.11.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
29.08.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
18.10.20
H2H
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Toluca
1
0
L
Last matches: Toluca
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
1
W
H2H at home: Toluca
22.07.26
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
17.08.25
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
18.03.24
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
11.09.22
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
21.11.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
29.08.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
14.02.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
Last matches: U.N.A.M. - Pumas
01.08.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC Juarez
5
1
W
05.07.26
Fri
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cancún
3
0
W
22.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
0
0
D
15.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
3
3
D
25.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Atletico San Luis
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Guadalajara Chivas
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Necaxa
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club Tijuana
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Puebla
3
2
W
08.02.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Atlas
2
2
D
04.02.26
CON
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
San Diego
1
4
L
15.01.26
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
21.11.25
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
09.11.25
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
3
2
W
26.10.25
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Leon
1
1
D
19.10.25
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Monterrey
1
1
D
28.09.25
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club America
1
4
L
24.09.25
Lig
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
H2H away: U.N.A.M. - Pumas
22.07.26
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
06.10.24
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
18.03.24
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
L
11.09.22
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
21.11.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
W
29.08.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
L
14.02.21
H2H
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
L