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WORLD › CONCACAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
PEN
1 - 1
Tigres UANL
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: Ismail Elfath, USA
Toluca
Match Timeline
Tigres UANL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
52'
M. Ruiz ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
63'
O. Herrera ↔ M. Flores
Tigres UANL
🔄
68'
R. Aguirre ↔ J. Brunetta
Tigres UANL
🔄
68'
V. Lorona ↔ M. Farfan
Tigres UANL
🔄
70'
J. Angulo ↔ P. Perez
Toluca
🔄
78'
↔ A. Gignac
Tigres UANL
🔄
78'
C. Araujo ↔ D. A. Sanchez Guevara
Tigres UANL
🟨
87'
Everardo López
Toluca
🔄
89'
N. Castro ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
89'
Helinho ↔ J. Diaz
Toluca
🟨
90+3'
Diego Lainez
Tigres UANL
🔄
91'
E. del Villar ↔ M. Isais
Toluca
🟨
96'
Mauricio Isais
Toluca
🔄
101'
Paulinho ↔ S. Cordova
Toluca
⚽
104'
J. Diaz · Assist: F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
109'
J. Garza ↔ J. Sanchez
Tigres UANL
⚽
114'
Joaquim · Assist: J. Brunetta
Tigres UANL

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 59.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
59.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 61.3%
Draw 9.7%
Tigres UANL Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.2
Tigres UANL1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
18 GF / 7 GA
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
7.67
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 6 matches
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 9 matches
Toluca Statistic Tigres UANL
4 Wins 5
0 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
18 Goals For 15
7 Goals Against 9
3 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 4
0 Failed To Score 2
7.67 Shots On Goal 5.25
19.67 Total Shots 15.13
4.17 Corners 5.63
61% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Tigres UANL won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Toluca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-1-4-1 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Tigres UANL wins 5
Stats
Toluca Toluca
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
8
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 7
24 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 8
6 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 1
7 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 5
8 Goalkeeper Saves 3
418 Total passes 509
329 Passes accurate 420
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
Tigres UANL
Luis García
Luis García
Santiago Simón
Santiago Simón
Bruno Méndez
Bruno Méndez
Federico Pereira
Federico Pereira
Everardo López
↓
Everardo López
Franco Romero
Franco Romero
Helinho
↓
Helinho
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
↓
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
Marcel Ruíz
↓
Marcel Ruíz
Nicolás Castro
↓
Nicolás Castro
Paulinho
↓
Paulinho
Nahuel Guzmán
Nahuel Guzmán
Vladimir Loroña
↓
Vladimir Loroña
Rômulo Zwarg
Rômulo Zwarg
Joaquim
⚽
Joaquim
Jesus Garza
Jesus Garza
César Araújo
↓
César Araújo
Fernando Gorriarán
Fernando Gorriarán
Diego Lainez
Diego Lainez
Ángel Correa
Ángel Correa
Ozziel Herrera
↓
Ozziel Herrera
Rodrigo Aguirre
↓
Rodrigo Aguirre
Toluca 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
22
Luis García
G
19
Santiago Simón
D
4
Bruno Méndez
D
6
Federico Pereira
D
25
Everardo López
↓ 91' 🟨 87'
D
5
Franco Romero
M
11
Helinho
↓ 89'
M
10
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
↓ 70'
M
14
Marcel Ruíz
↓ 52'
M
8
Nicolás Castro
↓ 89'
M
26
Paulinho
↓ 101'
F
Substitutes
24
Fernando Arce Juárez
🎯 104' ↑ 52'
M
15
Pavel Pérez
↑ 70'
M
2
Diego Barbosa
↑ 89'
D
29
Jorge Díaz
⚽ 104' ↑ 89'
M
17
Mauricio Isais
↑ 91' 🟨 96'
D
7
Sebastián Córdova
↑ 101'
M
1
Hugo Gonzalez
G
13
Luan
D
3
Antonio Briseño
D
16
Erick Orta
D
33
Victor Arteaga
M
35
Alek Álvarez
D
Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Nahuel Guzmán
G
32
Vladimir Loroña
↓ 68'
D
23
Rômulo Zwarg
D
28
Joaquim
⚽ 114'
D
14
Jesus Garza
D
5
César Araújo
↓ 78'
M
8
Fernando Gorriarán
M
16
Diego Lainez
🟨 90+3'
M
7
Ángel Correa
M
77
Ozziel Herrera
↓ 63'
M
17
Rodrigo Aguirre
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
20
Marcelo Flores
↑ 63'
M
3
Marco Farfan
↑ 68'
D
11
Juan Brunetta
🎯 114' ↑ 68'
M
30
Diego Sánchez
↑ 78'
F
10
André-Pierre Gignac
↑ 78'
F
4
Juan José Purata
↑ 109'
D
13
Antonio Carrera
G
25
Carlos Rodríguez
G
2
Francisco Reyes
D
27
Jesús Angulo
D
22
Henrique Simeone Koifman
M
6
Juan Vigón
M
Last matches: Toluca
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
13.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
0
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
1
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Puebla
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club America
4
1
W
21.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
H2H: Toluca vs Tigres UANL
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
L
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
L
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
W
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
1
W
25.09.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
H2H at home: Toluca
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
L
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
13.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
0
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Puebla
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club America
4
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
04.02.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Forge
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Leon
2
1
W
12.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
2
L
04.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
27.11.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
02.11.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
1
1
D
23.10.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
CF Pachuca
2
1
W
H2H away: Tigres UANL
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
W
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
L