Toluca
Match Timeline
Tigres UANL
Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
59.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 61.3%
Draw 9.7%
Tigres UANL Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.2
Tigres UANL1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
18 GF / 7 GA
Tigres UANL
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
7.67
Shots on Goal
5.25
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
6 matches
Tigres UANL
9 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 0 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 18 | Goals For | 15 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 7.67 | Shots On Goal | 5.25 |
| 19.67 | Total Shots | 15.13 |
| 4.17 | Corners | 5.63 |
| 61% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Tigres UANL won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Toluca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-1-4-1 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Tigres UANL wins 5